Silver futures surge 5.44% in a single day, what's next? A brief pause for breath, then continue climbing.



In the face of this rally, operations like London interbank lending positions, Shanghai air cargo spot rescue, New York directly unplugging the internet cable, and offline emergency negotiations—these actions can at best delay things for two months. If we get through this year, what about next year? You want to borrow silver, but the question is: from whom?

The silver market is too small. The annual production is only 28,000 tons, and even with a 110% increase this year, the total market value is just over 300 billion RMB. Hot money around the world can easily flow out, and silver prices can soar immediately.

Once an upward cycle begins, more and more people will stockpile, and market liquidity will shrink accordingly, intensifying the supply and demand contradictions.

Even more concerning: 80% of silver production comes from associated minerals—by-products of lead-zinc mining and gold mining. In other words, no matter how crazy the silver prices go, production will struggle to keep up.
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DefiEngineerJackvip
· 4h ago
well, *actually* if you look at the supply mechanics here... silver's basically an inelastic commodity wrapped in a liquidity trap. 80% from byproducts? that's just poor market design, tbh. been saying this since 2021—traditional commodities are just poorly optimized compared to on-chain assets with proper tokenomics. but go off i guess
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GasWastervip
· 12-11 20:57
A small market cap is the original sin; hot money rushes in and prices skyrocket. Silver, this thing, production is capped and can't be chased at all. Wait, are countries secretly stockpiling silver? Something feels off. With just over 300 billion in market cap, it's really a cyber casino. If another wave comes next year, it will feel like you can't even borrow.
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ZKProofstervip
· 12-10 12:53
ngl, the supply constraint angle here is actually solid—80% as byproduct basically means silver's stuck in a liquidity trap. classic market asymmetry. but tbh, "global hot money leaks out and price goes moon" is giving oversimplification vibes. there's more cryptographic complexity to commodities than people think.
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AirdropHuntervip
· 12-10 12:51
Silver is indeed a small market, and hot money rushes in causing explosive growth. But how long can this wave last? It depends on how global capital plays it. The problem with associated minerals is really a sore point; production can't keep up. Wait, what if next year there's a real shortage of silver? Can this business be done? This positive news is a bit too obvious; I always feel there might be a sudden turnaround someday.
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GasFeeCrybabyvip
· 12-10 12:45
With such a small market cap, trying to manipulate the market is laughable; it will blow up sooner or later. Silver is truly a ticking time bomb; the intrinsic properties of associated minerals mean no one can rescue the situation. They are even resorting to actions like unplugging the internet in New York, which shows they are panicking. Production is tightly capped, and hoarders are rushing in; this is nothing but a rocket ride. Next year, we'll see how much more it can rise. Right now, jumping in depends on your quickness.
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BetterLuckyThanSmartvip
· 12-10 12:40
Silver is taking off, but production is bottlenecked. This is the real killer move. Wait, 80% of associated minerals? That means increasing production is basically impossible. The hoarding army is gathering, and the circulation volume is only a matter of time before it hits bottom. Borrow silver next year? Ha, that'll be even harder than borrowing money. 3 trillion yuan can't hold all the global hot money, hilarious. Unplugging the internet cable, negotiations, air transport—spending so much effort, and only delaying for two months? That's just treating the symptoms, not the root cause. Silver, the more you have later on, the scarcer it becomes. This logical cycle is complete.
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