I’ve been struggling with a question: how do you determine whether the current market trend is predictable or just complete chaos? After thinking about it for a long time, I came up with a simple method—try it with real money.

Just now, my strategy triggered the circuit breaker, and all orders were forcibly paused. I have to wait nearly 12 minutes before it resumes. The reason is simple: I hit three stop losses in a row, and both long and short positions lost money. What does this mean? The market is bouncing around recklessly, with no clear pattern. Continuing to fight now is just throwing money away. It’s better to take a break, wait for the market to settle down, and then decide what to do.