#美联储降息 The sudden policy shift in the United States, your Bitcoin is trembling in the cracks

Recently, the statements from US officials have become increasingly absurd. On one hand, the Commerce Secretary is promoting an economic growth rate of 6%, while on the other hand, the Federal Reserve is holding onto high interest rates without easing. It's like pressing the accelerator with one foot and the brake with the other — tearing the entire market into two opposing forces.

**How painful is the truth behind the growth target?**

A 6% growth rate sounds very attractive, but it's backed by tariffs and corporate tax cuts. What's the problem? Tariffs inevitably push up prices, and inflationary pressure cannot be reduced. How dare the Fed cut interest rates? The dotted line chart clearly states — at most two rate cuts by 2026, and the Fed Chair's attitude is quite cold: "It’s better to wait and see for now." This kind of "official pie-in-the-sky" is just like the once-hyped “10,000x coin myth” in the crypto world — sounds great, but in reality, it’s just air.

**Liquidity dries up, altcoins are the first to suffer**

What happens in a high-interest-rate environment? The US dollar appreciates, and global funds turn back to the US. The results are obvious — exchange USD balances surge, altcoin trading volume plunges, Bitcoin fluctuates up and down, and institutional investors see it clearly: the White House is blowing bubbles, the Fed aims to prevent explosions, and the crypto market has become a pawn in a game between two sides.

**On-chain data is more valuable than press releases**

Don’t be fooled by official statements. Long-term holders are quietly exiting. These real on-chain signals are more reliable than any speech. The risk of stagflation is now obvious — historical data shows that each stagflation cycle can produce an annualized return of 30% in gold. Want Bitcoin to turn the tide? You have to wait for a real move from a central bank, or for the US Bitcoin reserve plan to be implemented — that’s when the rules of the game will change.

Uncertainty arising from policy collisions presents both risks and opportunities. But remember one thing: when casino bosses fight, the easiest to be smashed are the gamblers’ chips. Paying attention to on-chain data and being vigilant against false expectations is the way to survive in this policy meat grinder.