2025-12-26 16:22:04

SPX500's performance this week confirms last week's technical analysis. The price repeatedly oscillated around the resistance level of 6920-6960, and the bears indeed gained momentum here. In the short term, it is highly likely that next week will test the 6900 support, followed by a rebound.

Behind this market movement are actually two forces competing. On one hand, the short-selling pressure continues to exert downward force; on the other hand, positive policy signals are supporting the market. Especially the influence of Trump's policy package should not be underestimated—expectations of rate cuts combined with hawkish figures like Kevin Hassett potentially taking office, plus the Federal Reserve's balance sheet expansion, this policy mix is likely to prevail in the end.

From a technical perspective, 7000 is the first key resistance level. Breaking through could lead to a further push towards 7360. Considering the risk window in mid-January, short-term volatility should be guarded against, but the overall trend remains upward. Ultimately, the price movement should be judged based on signals from the system; currently, the resonance between technical and policy factors continues.

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AirdropHustler

· 3h ago

Will the 6900 level drop again? Where's the rebound we were expecting... The policy stance is so aggressive, but retail investors still need to be cautious. If Trump's combination of measures really materializes, that would be a serious issue. Can 7000 really be broken? I think it's uncertain.

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CryptoMotivator

· 4h ago

Breaking through the 6900 hurdle is really confidence-shaking. --- Policy support indeed provides confidence, but I'm worried about funds suddenly changing their stance. --- Only after breaking through 7000 can we talk about 7360; it's still early. --- If Trump keeps up this combination punch, how can the bears hold on? --- Mid-January, we really need to be cautious to avoid being shaken out. --- The technical and policy resonance sounds good, but the risk window is a bit painful. --- Repetitive grinding between 6920-6960, who gets tired of it? --- Cutting interest rates + hawkish stance + QE, I need to ponder this combination. --- Support until the rebound, easy to say, but the real test will be next week.

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SocialFiQueen

· 4h ago

The 6900 level really needs to hold, or it will be awkward. Trump's combination of tactics is indeed a bit harsh. The expectation of interest rate cuts paired with these personnel arrangements has fed the market. If we can't break through 7000, this rebound will be just so-so, feeling a bit anxious. The policy side is forcefully supporting the market, but the bearish sentiment probably won't last much longer. That window in mid-January still requires caution; don't get caught off guard.

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RektDetective

· 4h ago

Can the 6900 level hold? I bet it will continue to fall next week. With so many positive policies stacked together, it feels a bit too perfect... If it can't even break 7000, the bears win. Can Hassett really boost the market when he takes office? I’m not so sure. It looks easy to predict, but you'll only realize how inexperienced you are when it actually happens.

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