2025-12-26 21:23:11

A timeless truth in the crypto world: a bull market does not lead to arrogance, and a bear market does not mean giving up easily. There are no eternal one-sided trends, but your trading discipline can remain consistent. Instead of wasting effort trying to predict the market, focus on refining yourself.

Looking at the four-hour K-line of BTC, this wave reached 89,500 but was firmly suppressed. The volume released actually dropped further, and now it has returned to the lower edge of the previous consolidation zone. From a pattern perspective, it has shifted from high-level stagnation to a decline and recovery. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands has flattened or even slightly tilted downward, indicating that momentum is clearly waning. This is not a sign of reversal but an indication that we are entering a phase of sideways consolidation and range trading.

On the one-hour level, after continuous volume spikes and sell-offs, trading volume has started to decrease, showing signs of stabilization. However, the rebound strength is weak, typical of a weak retracement after a decline. The short-term moving averages are still diverging downward, and any rebound is more like an emotional release rather than a trend reversal.

The trading approach is very clear: follow the trend, do not try to bottom fish. Seizing rebound opportunities to short is the right strategy.

Reference levels:
BTC is under pressure around 87,800; if broken, look towards 85,000.
ETH is under pressure around 2,970; similarly, look towards 2,700.

BTC0.18%

ETH0.64%

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QuietlyStaking

· 2h ago

It's the same old story, sounds good but few are actually making money. Once again, it was smashed back down to 89500, this move definitely feels very bearish. Don't believe in self-cultivation; setting proper stop-losses is the real key. Breaking 87800, do we really need to look at 85? It feels a bit uncertain, a rebound and another wave isn't surprising. In a bear market, shouting to hold on; in a bull market, not daring to chase. The contradiction is quite strong. With such weakness in the short term, the positions in hand are a bit uncomfortable. From 2970 to 2700, ETH's recent fluctuation has been quite intense. Following the trend to short sounds simple, but actually executing it is psychologically challenging. Compound interest doesn't rely on predictions; it depends on surviving through it. Simply put, you need to live long enough to see it. The most annoying part of the consolidation phase: sell during rebounds, and sell even more if there's no rebound.

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tx_or_didn't_happen

· 2h ago

Here we go again talking about discipline, but I see most people still can't resist buying the dip... It was indeed hit pretty hard around 89500. Here we go again talking about discipline, but I see most people still can't resist buying the dip... It was indeed hit pretty hard around 89500. A weak rebound is just an emotional trap, don't be fooled into it. I'm not daring to buy in this wave, let's wait until 87800. That's right, instead of predicting, it's better to work on self-cultivation, but as they say, when it comes to critical moments, it's easy to lose composure. Can the key support at 85000 hold? That's the key.

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gas_fee_therapist

· 2h ago

It's the same old story again. How many times have I heard "short now"? The key is that drop below 89,500 was truly incredible.

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MidnightSnapHunter

· 2h ago

It's the same old story, those who buy the dip always die the fastest. I'll just watch quietly to see who can hold until 85,000 without selling.

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HodlKumamon

· 2h ago

熊熊 just calculated the standard deviation of the trading volume. This wave of dumping definitely has a method to it. A weak rebound is a signal to trap people; shorting is the way to go with the trend. Breaking 87,800 will lead straight to 85,000. Data doesn't lie. DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) for fixed investments during rebound opportunities; the bear market is the real discount day.

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BearMarketMonk

· 2h ago

It sounds good, but when it actually reaches the true fluctuation zone, how many people can really stay unmoved? That resistance line at 89,500, I think many are actually betting on a reversal, not just following the trend.

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