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#美国探讨比特币战略储备 $BTC $ETH $ZEC
The record-breaking surge in the US stock market is about to cool down.
Recently, Powell issued a stern warning — stock prices are already significantly overvalued. This hits the core issue directly. The Shiller P/E ratio soared to 40.74, just shy of the internet bubble peak at 44.19. Looking back at history, five times reaching this level resulted in crashes, with declines ranging from 20% to 89%. Even more painfully, over the past 155 years, the Shiller P/E has exceeded 30 only six times, and each of the first five times was inevitably on the eve of a bear market.
But that’s not the most exciting part. After Trump left office, he directly threw a wrench in the works — criticizing Powell for spending $2.5 billion to renovate the Federal Reserve headquarters, even threatening lawsuits and pushing for a rate cut to 1%. Currently, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate remains at 3.5%-3.75%, and the rate cut plan for 2026 only hints at one. This political and business showdown has directly stirred every nerve in the crypto market.
Expectations of rate cuts are here, and massive liquidity could flood into digital assets, igniting the bull market. But what if political interference truly shakes the independence of the Federal Reserve? Market panic could wipe out the crypto space in a bloodbath.
The lessons from history are clear: during the last rate cut anticipation wave, Bitcoin’s price dropped over 30% in one month, and 180,000 traders were liquidated. If they go this big again, market volatility will only become more brutal. In such an environment, those projects with real use cases and mainstream coins with ample liquidity will be able to withstand the storm; those purely driven by narratives and lacking fundamentals should brace for a tough ride.
So the question is: can Trump really push interest rates down to 1%? Will 2026 be a continued crypto carnival or the prelude to a crash? Do you have the resilience to withstand the upcoming storm? See you in the comments.