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Recent Key Factors Supporting a Bullish Market
1. Federal Reserve Easing + Liquidity Rebound: Expect 1-2 rate cuts in 2026; liquidity contraction bottomed out in November 2025; combined with "implicit quantitative easing" as a cushion, increasing the attractiveness of risk assets.
2. Institutional Funds + Channel Expansion: Bitcoin ETF outflows reversed at year-end, with monthly net inflows exceeding $400 million; Vanguard opened crypto ETF trading, and US banks began allowing advisors to proactively recommend allocations starting January.
3. Clearer Regulations + Market Maturity: Bipartisan efforts on crypto legislation in the US; FDIC regulates bank stablecoin issuance; FASB plans to classify some stablecoins as "cash equivalents," continuously improving compliance.
4. Macro Safe-Haven + Value Hedging: Under the expectation of a weakening dollar, demand for alternative value storage increases; US government shutdown risks may drive capital inflows, highlighting Bitcoin's "digital gold" attributes.
4. Technical Pattern: Bitcoin has broken out of a daily-level descending channel; the medium-term trend shows a 3-day MACD forming a bullish crossover below zero; focus now on whether the $90,000 level can stabilize confidently, with key dates next week on the 3rd-5th, coinciding with ADP employment figures and non-farm payroll release times!