Recent developments in the international situation have emerged again. U.S. authorities have taken a tough stance on Iran, hinting that if the situation escalates, they may take corresponding actions. When such news breaks, the market often enters a sensitive period.

Historically, whenever tensions in the Middle East escalate, safe-haven assets tend to be in demand—Bitcoin and gold occasionally surge. The underlying logic is quite straightforward: geopolitical risk → changes in oil supply expectations → rising inflation → adjustments in interest rate policies → pressure on risk assets. Each link in the chain influences the next.

Currently, the market mainly depends on macroeconomic and liquidity factors, but sudden major events can still shake the situation. Especially if oil prices are pushed higher, global inflation expectations will resurface, leading to a re-pricing of rate hike expectations, which will have a tangible impact on cryptocurrencies and other risk assets.

That said, these are still just verbal statements. Whether actual action will be taken depends on subsequent developments. So, we shouldn’t fall into the trap of unnecessary worry too early.

The key is to stick to trading discipline. When breaking news arrives, don’t be swayed by the hype. Avoid rushing to chase after price movements, and always prioritize position management as the first line of defense. During such potential volatility periods, leverage should be especially cautious.

A few indicators worth paying more attention to are gold, oil prices, and the US dollar index. These often reflect subtle changes in market sentiment earlier. Once the market clarifies itself, it’s not too late for us to make decisions. Observe more, act less—that’s the survival rule for this period.