A mysterious account that was registered only a few days ago placed a $30,000 bet on a political wager late Friday night. Twelve hours later, the account's funds skyrocketed to over $400,000, with a return of over 1200%.

This is not a fictional story, but a real transaction that took place on a well-known prediction market platform.

The contract regarding whether the leader would step down before the end of January saw its price jump from 5 cents to nearly $1 within a few hours. Trading volume once exceeded $120 million. And the most surreal part—this all happened before any official announcement.

The timeline is clear. On December 27, 2025, an account named "Burdensome-Mix" was opened. It remained low-profile for the following week until it suddenly became the largest player in the market's "bullish" position.

Over the last four days, the account invested a total of $32,537, all betting on a political event. Friday night was especially aggressive—just hours before the official announcement, a large number of newly registered anonymous accounts flooded the market, all targeting the same contract.

At that time, the market generally believed that the probability of U.S. intervention was only about 6%, so the contract was still cheap, costing only 5 to 7 cents. As a result, early Saturday morning, the official announcement confirmed the success of the operation. The contract price soared.

This incident sparked considerable discussion in the Web3 community—issues of information asymmetry in prediction markets, the possibility of insider trading, and the impact of such models on market fairness. To some extent, it also highlights the transparency advantages and risks inherent in on-chain transactions.