The hottest topic in the crypto market recently is the widely discussed subject "$10 in 26 years and $20 in 27 years" within the FIL community. This topic has sparked extensive debate: some believe it involves retail investors following the trend, while others see it as a signal that large funds are being ambushed in advance. As an analyst monitoring capital movements, I find it necessary to clarify: is the recent growth of FIL driven by market sentiment or does it reflect its true value? Is the target price mentioned by the community a trick or is it genuinely justified?

Let's start by discussing the factors influencing these achievements. The recovery of FIL from a low of $1.1 is truly impressive. After the announcement of this technological upgrade, market expectations shifted, leading to a 14% increase. This reflects market optimism about the update. Observing trading activity, it’s clear that both institutional and retail investors are actively deploying shares, and buy orders continue to remain active. The influence of emotions is so strong that as soon as a new story emerges, trust is built in the market.

But it must be clear that emotions are only the primary motivation, not the main motivation. The true support for the rise still lies in its logic. This upgrade is not just a simple iteration; it transforms FIL into a programmable cloud ecosystem, expanding application scenarios and broadening the scope of environmental application imagination. This means that the logic for evaluating the project needs to be reconsidered. Combined with the scarcity caused by the deflationary model, it provides fundamental support for the price. Emotions simply amplify this value, rather than creating it out of thin air.

Is the community’s target — "$10 in 26 years and $20 in 27 years" — reliable? It’s an exaggeration, but not without basis. In the long term, if the ecosystem can develop as expected and there is real potential in application scenarios, this target may not be empty. However, the question remains whether it will be realized.

The key lies in whether subsequent ecological development can meet expectations. It’s too early to draw conclusions, but at least the market has found a new narrative logic, and this logic is somewhat convincing. Sentiments may continue to influence in the short term, but long-term support is still necessary in practice. This market wave is not just a simple mistake or blind optimism but a reassessment of expectations supported by fundamental indicators. How to understand the rhythm still depends on your judgment of the project’s progress. #$