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#以太坊大户持仓变化 January 6 Pre-market Observation:
Bitcoin has been quite strong these days, with consecutive large bullish candles on the daily chart accompanied by increasing volume, clearly showing the bulls' intent. The momentum continues to build based on recent daily K-line performance, and there is no ambiguity in the short-term trend.
Switching to the four-hour chart, four consecutive bullish candles are pushing upward so decisively—price remains close to the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, and the volume indicator shows that bullish funds are still pouring in steadily. There are no obvious signs of reversal. In the short term, the bulls still hold a relatively stable control.
However, at the one-hour level, caution is needed. A classic pattern of two bullish candles with one bearish candle in between has appeared, indicating that the bulls are gradually gaining control of the rhythm. But there’s a development—price is now consolidating in a narrow range near the high of around 93,950, RSI has entered overbought territory, and the KDJ is starting to show signs of a dead cross. Plus, the price is approaching the technical ceiling of the upper Bollinger Band, which hints that a pause might be needed. Honestly, the probability of a strong breakout is not very high; instead, one should watch out for short-term correction pressure.
From this perspective, short-term selling on rallies might be a viable strategy. Consider shorting $BTC in the 94,800-95,300 range with targets around 93,300-92,600; for $ETH, try shorting near 3,260-3,280 with targets around 3,210-3,190.