2026-01-05 23:22:53

The recent market fluctuations have caused many investors to start reflecting. Data shows that the Federal Reserve's probability of interest rate cuts in January is only 18.3%, and liquidity tightening has become the most pressing dilemma at the moment. Interestingly, in such an environment, the actions of whales and institutions are becoming more and more frequent.

According to on-chain data, nearly 1.5 million TON tokens have been transferred into election contracts, over 70 million EUL and 2 billion SYRUP tokens have been moved by anonymous addresses, Wintermute has completed internal transfers of 624.9 billion PEPE, and 5 million UNI tokens on Uniswap have also disappeared. Are these transfers driven by risk avoidance or strategic adjustments? It's hard to say for sure.

What is even more intriguing is the performance of institutions. MicroStrategy has suffered an unrealized loss of $17.44 billion due to Bitcoin's decline, and its stock price has been halved, but Bitmine has increased its holdings by 33,000 ETH at this critical moment, now holding assets worth $14.2 billion. This attitude of incurring losses while increasing positions clearly indicates the institutions' long-term market outlook. CME's cryptocurrency derivatives trading volume has also hit a new all-time high, with a daily nominal value of $12 billion, fully releasing market enthusiasm.

Regulatory authorities are also taking new actions—US lawmakers are pushing proposals to restrict officials from using insider information to predict the market. Meanwhile, NFT Paris has canceled its 2026 event and issued full refunds due to changes in the market environment, reflecting industry caution about the future.

Overall, the current market is at a delicate balance point. The struggle between retail investors and institutions, short-term volatility and long-term strategies, risks and opportunities continues. Whether it is an opportunity or a trap may only become clear by 2026.

TON-4.45%

EUL-3.51%

SYRUP8.28%

PEPE0.99%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

21 Likes

Reward
21
8
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

probably_nothing_anon

· 20h ago

Whales are frantically buying in, while MSTR is cutting losses. This situation is truly ironic. Institutions are crying while increasing their positions. Honestly, they are just optimistic about the long term. With liquidity tightening and insider trading happening, this market is really chaotic. Bitmine increased their ETH holdings by 14.2 billion? They really dare to do that. Either they are geniuses or they are seeking death. Retail investors should just play it safe and not follow the herd to chase highs. What’s with the 150,000 TON flowing into the election contracts? What are these big players really up to? CME trading volume hits a new high... The market is hot, but something still feels off. NFT Paris has directly canceled 2026. The industry's attitude is truly pessimistic. Losing 17.44 billion while adding 33,000 ETH to their positions. I just want to know who is trapping whom. With interest rate cuts still far away, how are we supposed to get through these days? Truly.

View OriginalReply0

MidnightSeller

· 01-05 23:56

Whales are increasing their positions, while I'm still cutting losses. The gap... Bitmine's move is really ruthless, holding $14.4 billion worth of ETH. I wonder where they get the confidence. Losing money on one hand and adding to the position on the other—this is a move I, as a retail investor, will never learn. On-chain data is so fierce. Do we really have to wait until 2026 to see the outcome? MicroStrategy has halved but keeps holding on. I would have gone bankrupt and run away long ago, haha. CME trading volume hits a new high. Hot money is frantically hedging. It feels more comfortable to lie flat and wait for death. This wave is probably really big institutions collecting positions. We'll just be responsible for taking the leftovers. Why has UNI disappeared without a trace... There must be some hidden tricks behind it. Liquidity is tightening, FOMO and panic are fighting each other. Human nature really can't withstand the test. Institutions are playing big chess on the board, while we're still blindly guessing based on K-line charts.

View OriginalReply0

BearMarketSurvivor

· 01-05 23:52

Whales are adding positions while losing money; I knew how deep this water is. Institutions are really bold; even at this stage, they still dare to operate in the opposite direction. Bitmine is increasing ETH holdings, indicating that big players have already figured it out. Retail investors are still debating interest rate cuts, while others are already bottom fishing. Is this wave an opportunity or a trap? It depends on who admits defeat first. Regulators cause trouble, yet trading volume skyrockets. Is the market going crazy? To put it simply, it's a game of big fish eating small fish. No wonder they say we won't see clearly until 2026.

View OriginalReply0

ArbitrageBot

· 01-05 23:49

Whales are accumulating, institutions are increasing their positions, and retail investors are getting cut... This script is so stereotypical. Losing money while adding to positions? Basically, it means being well-informed. With liquidity tightening, some still dare to go all-in—are they truly more resilient to risk, or is there another secret? Regulators are about to crack down on insider information—have the institutions already set up their plans in advance?

View OriginalReply0

SeeYouInFourYears

· 01-05 23:49

Whales are increasing their positions, retail investors are cutting losses, this is an eternal story. Wait, does Bitmine still dare to buy the dip? Is this genuine confidence or just playing with nerves? Even with liquidity tightening, some people are still throwing money in. Whether it's feasible or not depends on what happens next. MicroStrategy's $17.4 billion loss has surely discouraged a lot of people. Where is the promised rate cut? The current atmosphere is really a bit suffocating. The institutions haven't said a word; on-chain data speaks for itself. Will it be clear by 2026? Then I’ll just treat it as a gamble. Whales running away or buying the dip, anyway retail investors are always the last to know. This round really tests mental resilience, it's not about playing with money but playing with psychology. Once the insider trading restrictions bill is passed, it will be even clearer afterward. With liquidity so tight, those who dare to increase their holdings really have something.

View OriginalReply0

GateUser-40edb63b

· 01-05 23:42

Whales are increasing their positions, while retail investors are cutting losses. Why is the difference so big?

View OriginalReply0

ImpermanentPhobia

· 01-05 23:41

Whales are increasing their positions, retail investors are still bottom-fishing, this gap is really incredible. Why are people still buying PEPE? I really don't understand. A loss of 17.4 billion and still adding positions, where does this confidence come from... Wait, do these big players know something we don't? Should I also follow the trend and do some? Never mind, I'm chicken. Interest rate cuts are far off, but trading volume hits new highs—look at this contradiction. Will it be clear in January? By then, I might have been liquidated already. CME's daily average is $12 billion, this heat is really scorching. Basically, it's institutions dancing, and we're just here to step on their toes. Can’t see clearly until 2026? By then, I guess I’ll have already quit the scene, lol. Even with liquidity tightening, some dare to hold heavy positions—I'm truly impressed. NFTs are starting to run away, does anyone still believe in this industry?

View OriginalReply0

SwapWhisperer

· 01-05 23:28

Whales are increasing their positions, while retail investors are still cutting losses. The gap is really huge. I'm impressed by Bitmine's move—daring to go all-in despite losses. Either they truly believe or they are really wealthy. Wait, that $17.4 billion loss from MicroStrategy... that must be heartbreaking. I can't figure out what's going on with these large transfers on the chain; I'm totally confused. If the Federal Reserve doesn't cut interest rates, we need to prepare for a long-term battle.

View OriginalReply0