2026-01-06 01:10:54

#以太坊大户持仓变化 Silver Intraday Trend Analysis | 1.6 Update

The recent performance of silver has indeed been worth paying attention to. The core logic is actually simple—Venezuela's situation suddenly heats up, triggering risk aversion sentiment, and the market re-evaluates silver's safe-haven properties. More importantly, the supply and demand fundamentals: global silver has been in shortage for five consecutive years, and the deficit is expected to expand to 7000-8000 tons next year. The industrial demand for silver in hot sectors like photovoltaic panels, AI server cooling, and new energy vehicles is exploding, which is the key support for prices. On the other hand, hawkish statements from the Federal Reserve have delayed rate cut expectations, and short-term futures face the risk of concentrated selling, so there are still many disturbances intraday.

Technically, the 75-75.5 USD range is particularly critical—it directly determines whether the bulls can continue their attack. The daily chart bullish pattern is solid, and once it breaks above 76 USD, the upward space opens. The four-hour momentum is still strong, with no extreme overbought signals yet. Based on the rhythm, the high-probability scenario is: high-level consolidation → pullback for support → re-attack.

Price reference:
Resistance levels: 77.8 USD (first intraday hurdle), then 80, and around 84 (historical levels)
Support levels from bottom to top: 70 USD (strong support at an integer), 72 USD (lifeline), 75 USD (5-day moving average turning support)

Practical trading ideas:
- In the 74.5-75.5 range, consider entering long positions in batches, with stop-loss below 74. Watch for a break above 77; if successful, continue chasing toward 80.
- If it directly breaks 77.8, go long with the trend, targeting 80 → 84.
- Once it falls below the 72 lifeline, don't rush to enter; wait for a rebound to around 74 before considering light short positions, aiming for 70 → 68 USD.

Key reminder: Although the bullish pattern is clear, short-term profit-taking pressure is significant. Position size and stop-losses must be well-controlled. $BTC $ETH

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CryptoPhoenix

· 01-09 00:42

Another day taught by the market, the 75-dollar threshold is really tough, as long as the energy is conserved and faith remains, it's okay. Remember, when losing money, staying clear-headed is most important. Control your position size well. Before 80, it's all about accumulating strength. This wave of silver's rebirth opportunity, be patient and wait for the bottom rebound, don't be greedy. If it falls below 72, I'll admit defeat. I'll wait for the right opportunity to come. Having experienced a 50% cut, I now see these fluctuations as nothing. Rebuilding the mindset is the most important.

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OPsychology

· 01-08 22:13

This wave of silver is indeed interesting. The supply and demand gap combined with industrial demand is a solid logic, but the hawkish statements from the Federal Reserve are a bit of a hurdle.

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WalletDetective

· 01-06 01:40

Silver's recent safe-haven logic is indeed solid; the supply and demand gap is right there. However, the Fed's hawks are really annoying, always coming to disrupt at critical moments. Wait, does AI server cooling also require silver? I hadn't thought of this logical chain, but it makes sense—chips are getting hotter and hotter, haha. If the 75 level can't be broken, the bulls might have to take a break. As for the move from 75 to 80, I think it will be a repeated struggle, not so smooth. Is the lifeline at 72 really that firm? It feels like every time someone mentions the lifeline, a sudden plunge just wipes it out.

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GasWaster69

· 01-06 01:38

This wave of silver really has some substance. Five years of shortages plus booming industrial demand, the logic indeed holds up. But the Federal Reserve can turn things around with just one statement—that's the market now, haha. Entering long positions at 74.5 feels more stable, and stopping losses below 74 is also wise. Just need to control your position size well, don't go all-in at once.

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DaoResearcher

· 01-06 01:35

From the perspective of Token economics, this analysis misses a crucial point — who actually holds the pricing power in the face of supply and demand imbalance? The white paper doesn't clarify this.

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SchrödingersNode

· 01-06 01:20

Silver's recent move is indeed interesting, driven by both supply and demand gaps and risk aversion sentiment. However, the Fed's hawkish stance is a bit annoying. Don't underestimate the key level of $75; only a breakout above $76 counts as a true attack.

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