A certain probability asset in the prediction market surged by 200% in the short term. This wave of increase is indeed quite intense. From a trading perspective, such abnormal fluctuations are either driven by large-scale capital inflows or the market is indeed digesting some new information. The gameplay of prediction markets is exactly like this—probabilities tend to fluctuate dramatically as participants' expectations change. However, whether such an exaggerated increase truly reflects a change in expectations or if other factors are at play depends on the specific event that triggered it. Prediction markets are relatively transparent, but it’s still prudent to be cautious when drawing conclusions based solely on the numerical increase. It feels like such abnormal signals frequently appear in prediction markets, and investors need to carefully analyze the underlying logic themselves.