2026-01-08 20:23:25

Chinese New Year just passed, but Bitcoin did not bring a good start for investors. On-chain data analysis platform founder Ki Young Ju warns with the latest on-chain data: Bitcoin's capital inflow is drying up. This indicates that in the short term, the market lacks new momentum and requires more time to adjust and build up.

**The Truth Behind the Data**

Realized price is almost stagnant. After a two-and-a-half-year growth cycle, Bitcoin's realized price has shown no new highs in the past month, which is a direct signal that capital inflow has significantly weakened—no new large buy orders are entering.

Sentiment recovery will be very slow. Unlike the quick bull-bear reversals in the past, today's market resembles a tug-of-war. Investor confidence may take months to recover, not just weeks. This process will be dull, but it also reflects a more rational market attitude.

Liquidity structure has changed. Even though it appears weak in the short term, Ki Young Ju believes the market is unlikely to experience a crash-like decline similar to 2022. Liquidity is much more abundant than two years ago, and the structure of mainstream holders is more stable. The probability of a sharp plunge is low. More likely: prices will oscillate within a certain range, with no surprises or nightmares.

**Tips for Traders**

Currently, the market lacks genuine new catalysts to push prices higher. If you are a short-term trader, the current market may test your patience. Consolidation periods are often when institutions quietly position themselves—but they can also be a time of uneventful boredom. The key is to manage your funds well and not be fooled by false signals.

BTC0.21%

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consensus_failure

· 21h ago

Here we go again with the same rhetoric... Lack of funds, lack of momentum, tired of hearing it --- Sideways trading really can drive people crazy; it's better to just crash and clear out for a more satisfying end --- Wait, what does it mean that the liquidity structure has changed? Can you explain in plain language? --- Ki Young Ju is at it again, fooling people; he said the same thing last year --- It's easy to say "manage your funds well," but who has actually done it? --- So this is the so-called "institutional positioning moment"? I think nobody is playing anymore --- It takes months to recover from emotional setbacks? My mindset has already become numb --- Range-bound trading is just another way of saying there's no market movement; no need to beat around the bush --- We survived the 2022 crash; what’s a little turbulence now? --- Short-term traders are now just gamblers, waiting to be hit by the inevitable

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DegenDreamer

· 21h ago

Another year of a bad start, running out of funds is really frustrating. Staying in a sideways trend for so long is impressive, I really respect that. Ki Young Ju is right, now is the time for institutions to scoop up bargains, small retail investors can only wait and see. Liquidity is sufficient and there's no collapse? Listen to this claim, I honestly don't believe it. It takes months to regain confidence, so I need to think about how to endure. This kind of range-bound fluctuation is the most annoying, not making any money and just watching the market. But on the other hand, without new big buy orders, it's truly weak.

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MentalWealthHarvester

· 21h ago

Same old story, exhausted funds, sideways consolidation, tired of hearing it --- Basically, no one is buying anymore --- Oh my, do I have to wait several months again? I’ve lost patience long ago --- Plenty of liquidity and no sharp drop? Then why is it still falling, where’s the logic? --- I trust institutional strategies, but I’m a retail investor, what’s the point of playing along with them? --- Sideways trading is the most annoying, you can’t make money nor lose money, just a pure waste of time --- Is Ki Young Ju’s prediction accurate again this time? What about last time? --- Months of dullness? I can’t wait that long, I’d rather trade other coins --- If there are no surprises or nightmares, why would I keep watching the market? --- Asset management, avoiding scams, sounds simple but is hard to do --- After the Spring Festival, the market just stays like this, hilarious. The opening was green instead of red.

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HashRateHermit

· 21h ago

Still not buying after such a long sideways movement? The institutions are accumulating chips, buddy.

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AirdropHunterWang

· 21h ago

It's the same old story again: funds are depleted, need to accumulate strength, patience is required... It's getting really annoying to hear. Can we really wait a few months of sideways movement to see a breakthrough? Institutional positioning? I think it's mostly just to wear down retail investors' bullets.

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unrekt.eth

· 21h ago

Talking about fund exhaustion again? It's been obvious for a while. Now it's just a waiting period; those who can't hold on have already been cleared out.

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