Recently, everyone has been busy studying the interest rate cut cycle and analyzing non-farm payroll data, but a true "gray rhino" is approaching—the geopolitical situation at the key strait.

This strait is only 5.4 kilometers wide at its narrowest point, yet it blocks 70% of China's crude oil imports and 40% of global trade. In plain terms, it is the lifeline of the global economy. Once navigation issues arise here, how severe could the consequences be?

First, energy. East Asian industrial production will fall into an energy crisis, with crude oil prices not just rising but jumping in phases. Then, secondary inflation will hit directly, forcing the Federal Reserve to reconsider its rate hike policies. At this point, stocks and bonds will decline simultaneously, and the crypto market won't be able to stay unaffected.

Looking at the supply chain. This area is a hub for container shipping; disruptions mean soaring costs and longer transit times, risking a halt in global manufacturing. Once the supply chain experiences "blockages," the currency markets will face devastating shocks.

In such extreme uncertainty, what will funds do? They will dump overvalued tech stocks and leveraged crypto assets, then flood into physical gold, U.S. Treasuries, and energy futures. The financial models based on rate cuts and employment growth you’ve built? They will collapse instantly.

$BNB $XRP $SOL These cryptocurrencies are no exception; there is no safe haven in the face of a major market upheaval. So instead of constantly watching economic data, it’s better to think more about these invisible risks.