#美国贸易赤字状况 Time flies, and I have been in the crypto world for 12 years.

I still remember when I first entered the market, with 5,000 yuan of capital, biting on bread while staring at the candlestick chart every day. I paid a lot of tuition fees during that time, but it was also during those days that I gradually developed a trading system that looks a bit "silly"—simple to the point of being naive, yet surprisingly effective.

I have no special talent, no insider information, only relying on stubbornly sticking to a simple yet robust logic. Looking back now, it was this persistence that allowed me to survive in this market, and even do quite well.

Sharing the methodology I have summarized over 12 years, whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, you can benefit from it:

**First Pitfall: Capital Management**
Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. My rule is strict: divide your funds into 5 parts, only use 1 part per trade, keep single trade losses within 10%, and control overall risk exposure at 2% of the total amount.

It’s clear when you do the math—losing 5 times in a row only results in a 10% loss. As long as you catch a wave of market movement, the gains can turn things around. This is the starting point of compound interest.

**Second Pitfall: The Art of Following the Trend**
Don’t rush to buy the dip during a decline; that’s often a trap for false signals. When a trend starts to move, don’t rush to run; it might just be about to take off. Those who are patient and persistent will earn big money.

**Third Pitfall: Mainstream Coins vs. Explosive Growth Coins**
Explosive growth isn’t an opportunity; it’s usually a signal. When you see a coin skyrocketing or experiencing an outrageous surge, if you can resist envy and impulsiveness, you’ve already won half the battle. Most of the latecomers are the ones who buy in at the top.

**Fourth Pitfall: Use Indicators, but Don’t Rely on Them Blindly**
MACD is a good tool. When DIF and DEA form a golden cross below the zero line and break upward? That’s often the entry point. When a death cross occurs above the zero line and falls back? It’s a signal to reduce positions.

Adding to positions should also follow logic—don’t add to losing positions, only increase when in profit. This way, you can avoid being driven by emotions.

**Fifth Pitfall: Watch Volume and Feel the Market Pulse**
A volume breakout at a low point is a sign of trend initiation. To judge the overall direction, keep an eye on whether the 3-day, 30-day, 84-day, and 120-day moving averages are turning upward.

Don’t follow the herd or indulge in fantasies; only trade those coins with established trends.

**Sixth Pitfall: Review Your Trades**
Go back and review every trade: Was the reason for buying correct? Where did I go wrong? Has the big weekly trend changed? Experts don’t make money by prediction; they grow by reviewing and learning.

This set of principles sounds simple, but very few people can stick to executing them. The market ultimately rewards those who are disciplined and can maintain their rhythm amid the chaos.

I used to stumble around blindly in the dark, but now I hold a light—are you willing to follow?