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Market Analysis for August 1st#非农就业数据
The market surged to 91,600, and order flow resistance began to cause a retracement. We preemptively shorted around 91,500, with the highest approaching 2,000 points. Currently, the market is still oscillating according to order status.
January 9th (Wednesday):
On-chain longs around 90,000 escaped near 91,000-91,400. Order flow resistance caused the market to decline again, resulting in a balanced situation satisfactory to both sides. Today's effective volatility is less than 1,000 points. Based on data feedback, it is most likely a consolidation phase.
Short liquidation points:
90,842, 91,332, 91,822, 92,312-92,802 (final short liquidation zone)
Long liquidation points:
89,470, 88,980, 88,490, 88,000-87,510 (final long liquidation zone)
Order flow data:
Super short-term resistance:
91,550-91,800 (observe first)
Super short-term support:
89,800-90,200 (observe first)
88,500-88,600
87,700-88,000 (this range matches the final liquidation zone, order flow support level, gap fill level, enter long positions between 87,700-88,500, defend at 86,300, target 90,300-90,600, 91,000-91,600)
Liquidation levels:
Long leverage liquidation levels are between 88,000-89,500, while short leverage liquidation levels will only start after breaking through 92,000.
Main force data:
Today’s on-chain activity mainly involves closing positions and reducing holdings. Both longs and shorts are present, but no new positions were captured, possibly waiting for non-farm payroll data before making further plans.
Long/short ratio:
Long 0.48 : Short 0.52
(The above is only personal opinion and does not constitute any investment advice)