Stellar (XLM) Key Breakthrough Point in 2026: Technical Analysis of the $0.24 Target

Real-Time Market Data Snapshot

Stellar (XLM) is priced at $0.23 today, with a weekly increase of +7.82%, and a 24-hour trading volume of 1.30M. The price repeatedly tests the key support level around $0.20, which is becoming a critical point determining the future trend.

Core Technical Signals Indicate an Uptrend

From a technical perspective, XLM currently shows clear oversold characteristics. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads 36.43, in a neutral to weak zone, which often suggests a potential rebound. More importantly, the MACD histogram has turned positive at 0.0002, reflecting a gradual easing of bearish pressure and brewing buying momentum.

The Bollinger Bands also reveal clues—XLM’s %B indicator at 0.1375 suggests the price is close to the lower band support at $0.20. Historical experience indicates that such positions often trigger mean reversion toward the middle band at $0.22. The stochastic indicator’s %K at 22.74 and %D at 21.63 confirm oversold conditions but not at extremes, leaving ample room for upward movement.

Expected Trends in 7-14 Days

In the short term, XLM is expected to advance toward $0.22, representing approximately a 10% increase from current levels. If this resistance is effectively broken, the target shifts to the $0.24 zone—coinciding with the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA50), forming a significant technical hurdle. Breaking through this level requires volume support (daily trading volume at least $8.3 million) and RSI rising above 50.

Over a one-month horizon, the price is likely to fluctuate between $0.21 and $0.26, showing clear range-bound trading characteristics.

Risk Points to Watch

The lower support is set at $0.20. Losing this level would mean testing the 52-week low (also at $0.20), potentially leading to a waterfall decline toward psychological supports at $0.15–$0.18. Currently, the 24-hour price oscillates within the $0.20–$0.21 range, which appears more like accumulation rather than selling pressure.

Practical Entry and Exit Guidelines

Entering positions gradually on dips within the $0.20–$0.205 support zone is prudent. Set stop-loss orders below $0.195 (risk control within 2.5%), with initial profit targets at the 20-day moving average of $0.22, and more advanced targets at the 50-day moving average of $0.24.

Given the price is near yearly lows and the overall trend is neutral, position sizes should be kept modest. Averaging down during weak periods using dollar-cost averaging is optimal, reducing costs without excessive pressure.

kursprognose Summary and Follow-up Observations

Overall, the confidence level in this kursprognose is moderate, expecting XLM to reach $0.22–$0.24 within 7-14 days, with a potential gain of 10–20%. This assumes the $0.20 support holds and early momentum indicators continue to improve.

Key confirmation signals to monitor include: RSI breaking above 40 (strengthening momentum), MACD crossing above the signal line (establishing a bullish pattern), and volume supporting a break above $0.21.

If $0.20 fails to hold, the entire bullish thesis must be reconsidered, and the next support levels will be reassessed at lower levels.