Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle: Still Relevant Today?

Over the past decade, Bitcoin's price movements have followed a predictable pattern—the four-year cycle tied to block rewards halving. The mechanism is straightforward: as newly minted Bitcoin supply shrinks every four years, scarcity intensifies, historically triggering bull runs.

But here's the question keeping traders awake: does this cycle still hold when spot ETFs and institutional capital now dominate market structure? The dynamics have shifted dramatically. Institutional players don't follow the same FOMO-driven behavior as retail traders. They deploy capital based on macro conditions, regulatory shifts, and portfolio allocation strategies.

Our analysis digs into whether traditional halving-driven cycles can coexist with modern market infrastructure. We break down the data, examine past cycles, and explore how institutional flows are reshaping Bitcoin's multi-year rhythm. The verdict? It's more nuanced than ever.