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Having been in the crypto space for 8 years, I've experienced falls and stepped into many pits. Today, I want to share some seemingly counterintuitive insights—market principles that I have repeatedly validated over more than 2900 days.
Starting from 50,000 yuan to the current scale, I haven't relied on insider information or shortcuts. The only right thing I've done is surviving long enough with the simplest methods.
People often ask me: Why can some traders survive in the market for the long term, while others can't endure a single cycle? The truth is, they understand the market rhythm and control their emotions.
Below are 6 pieces of experience, each earned through real gold and silver:
**Rapid rise and slow fall doesn't necessarily mean a top.** When the market suddenly surges and then gradually pulls back? It's mostly a shakeout or capital rotation, no need to rush to exit.
**Fast decline and slow recovery also doesn't necessarily mean a bottom.** After a flash crash, if the price slowly climbs back, it may look like a second entry opportunity, but often it's the final stage of distribution. Don't be trapped by the mindset of "it's fallen so much."
**High volume at high levels indicates activity; lack of volume is dangerous.** When the price rises at high levels with volume, there's still room for manipulation. But if the price starts to consolidate and volume suddenly shrinks, this eerie "silence" is usually a prelude to a big drop.
**A single high-volume bottom doesn't equal a reversal.** The real bottom is forged through grinding. Consistent volume over several days or weeks signals genuine capital accumulation; a single large bullish candle is often just a smokescreen.
**Price is the result; volume is the cause.** Many focus obsessively on candlesticks, but volume is the key—it reflects the market's true consensus and the real battle between bulls and bears.
**Being able to hold no position is the mark of a true master.** Holding no position isn't cowardice; it's wisdom. Not chasing highs is rational, and not panicking is confidence. When you can approach the market with "no obsession," trading truly begins to work for you.