Regarding whether the crypto market can usher in a true super cycle in 2026, my judgment is straightforward— the deciding factor is not about interest rate cuts, liquidity easing, institutional crypto reserves, or ETF inflows, which are common topics.



The core logic is simply this: the macro environment determines whether prices go up or down, but CLARITY is the key variable that decides whether there will be a super bull market.

Many people focus on policy and capital factors, but they actually overlook the most important factor—market confidence. To achieve a truly significant market movement next year, what is needed is clarity and certainty in market expectations. CLARITY—this high level of certainty—can stimulate the market’s aggregating effect.

Interest rate cuts are just background noise; CLARITY is the main theme.
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RugpullSurvivorvip
· 2h ago
Clarity really hits the mark on this point, much more reliable than those liquidity analyses.
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zkNoobvip
· 2h ago
I'm tired of hearing the word "clarity," but ultimately, someone has to take the plunge. Nice words, but in the end, it's all about who is selling to whom. I respect this logic—no matter how high the clarity is, it still dumps when it falls. Confidence certainty? Laughs, on-chain data will tell the story. Macro + clarity sounds good, but I trust the distribution of chips more haha.
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HashRateHustlervip
· 2h ago
That's right, clarity is the real catalyst. --- What’s the point of cutting interest rates? The key is still having clear expectations. --- This guy finally said it: clarity > all macro factors. --- Institutional reserves, ETFs, these are all just smokescreens; market sentiment still matters. --- From the perspective of clear expectations, it’s indeed a fresh angle that most people don’t see. --- So basically, everyone needs to know what the rules are and have confidence. --- Clarity is easy to talk about, but whether it can actually be achieved is the real challenge. --- Agreed, macro factors are just the fertile ground; clarity is the igniter. --- That’s why sometimes when market expectations change, it crashes—feels very accurate. --- A bull market relies on certainty; otherwise, even abundant liquidity is useless. --- When clarity is lacking, even the best fundamentals can’t save the market.
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LiquidationWatchervip
· 2h ago
Basically, it's about how clear the policies are, and I agree with that. --- Clarity, what a joke. It's all about who holds more coins and who has the final say. --- It's the same theory again; we said this last year too. --- Expected clarity... sounds like justifying a price increase for ourselves haha. --- Lowering interest rates is just background noise; that analogy is pretty good. Indeed, clarity is more important. --- It feels like they're saying: don't worry about macroeconomics, the key is the government's attitude. --- If we really want clarity, the US side needs to give a firm answer first. --- This logic doesn't hold up; clarity itself is influenced by macro factors. --- Ultimately, clarity still comes down to policy level; it's all the same cycle. --- Sounds nice, but actually it means: let's wait and see the political winds.
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LowCapGemHuntervip
· 3h ago
Well said, clarity hits the point. Stop talking about interest rate cuts; those are just a smokescreen. What truly attracts big players to follow the trend is certainty of expectations. Without that, no matter how much money you have, it's useless.
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