#密码资产动态追踪 What has Wall Street been up to lately? They directly interpret Trump's policy signals as a sign that "the economy is about to take off." The market trading logic in mid-January is very clear—this president plans to aggressively stimulate the economy and consumption before mid-year, giving cyclical stocks a chance to turn around.



From calls to cut interest rates to restricting credit card interest rates, the new government's approach revolves around one core idea: keep the economy hot while easing the cost of living for ordinary people. Investment banks have highlighted the focus: cyclical sectors like industrials, raw materials, and non-essential consumer goods are expected to rise, while defensive stocks should step aside.

Raymond James's latest report straightforwardly concludes—policy support + growth signals in hand, the economic cycle recovery is basically a done deal; UBS is more direct, calling it "serving the election," with voters' top concerns—prices, mortgages, and oil prices—being the key.

You ask what to do about bank stocks? Trump's restrictions on credit card interest rates indeed hit banks hard, but institutions see this as a short-term pain. JPMorgan Chase, on the other hand, says it's a good time to buy bank stocks, and they haven't given up on cyclical stocks either—low inflation will free up ample room for economic stimulation.

Of course, the S&P 500 is nearing the 7000-point mark, but BTIG poured some cold water: historically, five times hitting an integer level, four times they pulled back. But the consensus among institutions is very firm—don't fear short-term volatility. Policies to promote growth + corporate earnings support suggest that cyclical stocks are very likely to be the main players in this round.
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StakeWhisperervip
· 1h ago
Are cyclical stocks taking off or just hype? Let's wait and see how long they can last. --- Wall Street is spinning stories again, each time confidently, only to be proven wrong. --- Restrict credit card interest rates? Isn't that just undermining banks' business models? --- Can the 7000-point level really hold steady? Feels a bit shaky. --- I started to panic when JPMorgan Chase said to buy bank stocks. --- Cutting interest rates + stimulating the economy, old tricks. Whether it works this time depends on execution. --- Is it their turn in the industrial and raw materials sectors? That's interesting. --- Election service manipulation, in simple terms, short-term benefit but what about the long term? --- BTIG's cold water splash is well-deserved; four corrections are not low-probability events. --- Low inflation can free up space for stimulus? I need to think more about this logic. --- Defensive stocks should be sidelined, but I still don't dare to go all-in on cyclical stocks.
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BlockchainBouncervip
· 1h ago
Another wave of policy expectation speculation. How long this cycle stock rally can last is really hard to say. Wall Street's usual tricks every day, and this time is no exception. Cutting interest rates, cutting interest rates, but in the end, it's still the companies themselves holding things up. Bank stocks get hammered, and people say it's a good time to buy? JPMorgan Chase dares to say that. S&P 500 hitting 7000 and wanting to rally? BTIG is right; it has historically pulled back four times. Let's see if we can really achieve low inflation; otherwise, the room for stimulus is just a joke. Restrictions on credit card interest rates do hurt banks, but is this really good for long-term interest rates? A turnaround for cyclical stocks still depends on corporate profits; policies are just catalysts. How long this rally can last ultimately depends on consumer data. Don't be fooled by investment bank reports; I still favor defensive sectors.
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RunWhenCutvip
· 1h ago
JPMorgan's recent comments sound like they're just making excuses to cover themselves. Can bank stocks really rebound? I'm skeptical.
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UnruggableChadvip
· 1h ago
Cyclical stocks take off, banks get hammered, but JPMorgan still calls for buying? I can't quite wrap my head around this logic haha
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GetRichLeekvip
· 2h ago
Coming to trick me into bottom-fishing again? Last time I said that, I lost 40% directly. Is this really the "fourth time" that the S&P 7000 surge is pulling back? I bet five bucks it's not. The main characters? I look at the K-line and say they're all very correct, but one move and it reverses.
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MetaNeighborvip
· 2h ago
Cyclical stocks are about to take off again, tired of this routine Wait, can we really pick up bank stocks after the plunge? It's a bit uncertain Oh my, we're back at the 7000-point integer mark. I've bet four times on a pullback, and I'm still hesitating The key question is, can low inflation really support this wave of gains? Trump's "election-serving" move, will voters buy it? Short-term pain? It doesn't seem that simple for bank stocks... Materials and cyclical sectors are about to surge? I'm watching closely Historically, there have been four out of five pullbacks; could this time be the exception? Can stimulus keep this momentum going? Something just feels off
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