2026-2-270-4

Main Path
"Rebound failure confirmed resistance above, returning to weak oscillation after correction93
ETH surged from around 2149 but failed to continue, 4H shows obvious stagnation and sideways movement, followed by 15m continuous bearish candles breaking below the moving averages and returning below the midline, currently trading in the 2030-2060 range with repeated pulls. The short-term structure shows:
Upper band pressure breaking below the midline, rebound with no volume, sideways downward movement
The current price action is: a correction phase after the upward move
The bulls lack follow-through funds, market has shifted from trend to range.
Overall rhythm from:
Trend rally at high levels, losing support of moving averages, weakening sideways
Technical structural features:
BOLL(15m & 1H)15m:
Price running near the lower band, midline beginning to bend downward, upper band clearly suppressing, indicating weak oscillation
1H:
Price repeatedly constrained by the midline
Upper band flattening with narrowing bandwidth
Entering a consolidation phase before directional choice, a exhaustion structure
RSI
15m: RSI falling back to 35-45 range, indicating weakness
1H: RSI below 50, structural judgment: bears dominate
MACD
15m: green bars continuously expanding, bearish momentum dominant
1H: double line death cross, approaching below zero, overall structure:
End of rally, momentum turns bearish, entering a correction zone
Secondary Path
"2030 range repeatedly supported, consolidating and testing midline pressure"
If continuous support near 2030 appears, the market will operate within:
2030-2085 range, until breaking above 2085
All treated as rebounds, not reversals.
Support Levels
First support: 2030-2040(Current support zone)Second support: 2010(Short-term key)
Main support: 1980-1990(Breaking below turns into a bearish structure)
Resistance Levels
First resistance: 2065-2085(Midline pressure)Second resistance: 2100
Strong resistance: above 2140(Previous high trapped zone)
Alternative Path
If the following conditions occur: 1H solidly above 2085, MACD turns bullish with volume
Upper band of BOLL reopens
The market will enter a rebound continuation path targeting: 2100-2140
If it breaks below 2010 with increased volume and bears regain control, the target below:
1990-1960
Trading Strategy - Long Position Ideas
Entry zone: 2010-2030 Stop-loss: 1980
Target: 2065-2085 Logic:
Rebound from the lower end of the range
Trading Strategy - Short Position Ideas
Entry zone: 2070-2090
Stop-loss: 2115
Target: 2035-2010-1990 Logic:
Short at the midline resistance(The long/short position you asked about just now is here)
Rhythm Summary
ETH current rhythm:
"Trend ended, high-level weak oscillation" Market features: volume of upward move disappearing, upper band resistance obvious, rebound sustainability poor
Core operation: prioritize high shorting
Low long positions only rebound, no chasing gains conclusion
ETH is no longer in an upward trend but in a high-level consolidation phase.
If 2085 is not broken, do not expect a new rally.
If 2010 is not broken downward, there will be no direct sharp decline.
Short-term mainly range oscillation, waiting for a breakout to determine the direction.$ETH