Black Swan Appears This Weekend: Middle East Conflict Sends Oil Soaring? Yunnan Energy and Huasheng, What’s Next for Them?

Hedge Price Rise Line:
Due to the geopolitical conflict triggered by the Middle East black swan event over the weekend, it is undoubtedly positive for safe-haven price increases on Monday. The most affected are the oil and non-ferrous metals that were heavily promoted across the internet over the weekend. However, compared to June last year, oil and non-ferrous metals are already at trend highs, so caution is needed to prevent a scenario of opening high and then declining. If oil really starts to ferment on Monday, the bidding must meet the following conditions:

1. Are there more than three one-word limit orders for oil after bidding ends?
2. Is there a 20cm upward guidance for oil on the ChiNext?
3. Can the sector leader Intercontinental open with a buy order of over 1.5 billion (the more, the better)?
   You can use these three conditions to gauge the strength of oil on Monday. If only one is met, be cautious of potential trap setups; if two are met, observe the market’s opening fund flow; if all three are met, the direction of Monday’s funds is basically confirmed.
   Returning to the oil sector, if the bidding shows no early signals, then arbitraging the old oil leaders is the best choice. Last June, the Middle East conflict fermented with the “one-word dragon” being the准油 (standard oil), and the turnover leader was墨龙 (Mo Long). Market funds have memory—if core players cannot enter early, consider arbitrage opportunities with established leaders.
   If oil opens with no participation opportunities across the board, funds will inevitably disperse into other safe-haven price-increasing themes. Currently, the transmission path is expected to extend from: oil → non-ferrous metals → chemicals → electricity. If you don’t want to chase the oil sector’s late-stage follow-up, identifying leading stocks in other safe-haven themes is also a good strategy.

AI Big Tech Line
Meanwhile, the outbreak of Middle East conflict is undoubtedly adding pressure to the Monday tech sector, especially during the pre-market bidding phase. Expectations for the tech sector, particularly computing power, should be lowered. However, from a short-term perspective, this presents both risks and opportunities.
Risks:
The risk lies in the fact that if Monday’s bidding guidance for safe-haven sectors like oil and the bidding for the computing power tech line do not meet expectations, it could trigger a batch of automated trading halts.
Opportunities:
On the other hand, the opportunity is that the tech line, represented by computing power, is currently widely bearish across the market, yet a divergence in expectations may emerge. As long as the oil safe-haven sector does not show a one-sided trend, the computing power and other tech sectors might experience morning pressure followed by a rebound in the afternoon.

Currently, the sentiment carriers for the tech sector are only in the 7th board with Yunnan Energy and Huasheng. Since Yunnan Energy has both computing power and electricity attributes, even if it advances to the 8th board tomorrow, it does not necessarily mean the tech sector will rebound. The key remains with Huasheng. If Huasheng opens with a negative feedback signal, then there’s no need to watch the tech sector on Monday. If Huasheng weakens but then turns strong without being halted, a red-open stabilization will keep the tech sector from performing poorly.
Therefore, the main points to monitor for the tech sector tomorrow are:

1. Does the core computing power stock Huasheng show extreme negative feedback?
2. Do the recognized leaders like Tuowei, Litong, Hanggang, etc., open with a strong red start? (The higher, the better)
3. Observe whether the first low-level board and the first to second level stocks show a clear directional guidance for the tech sector?
   By combining these three tech sector anchoring points with the previously mentioned oil sector conditions, everyone should be able to better judge tomorrow’s market script. We just need to prepare thoroughly, and the rest will be left to market dynamics.