Weak U.S. Economy and Military Action Against Iran: A Dangerous Game

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The United States is simultaneously facing the dual shocks of stagflation risk and Middle East conflict. On February 28, 2026, Trump launched “Operation Epic Fury,” a large-scale military strike against Iran, killing Supreme Leader Khamenei.

However, while initiating the war, U.S. economic data worsened across the board—non-farm payrolls decreased by 92,000 in February, the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, retail sales declined, and GDP growth sharply dropped to 1.4%, while inflation unexpectedly rose, with core PCE reaching 3.0%. The substantial closure of the Strait of Hormuz caused oil prices to surge over 17% in a week, with Brent crude surpassing $85.

This war not only failed to divert attention from economic difficulties but is accelerating the United States toward the abyss of stagflation.

History shows that economic pressure ultimately becomes the strongest constraint on military adventurism—and this mechanism has already begun to manifest.

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