03.29 Review: How Huadian Liaoning Energy Managed to Recover.

Statement: The following is personal reflection, not investment advice [Tao Gu Ba]
Limit Up Situation

Two consecutive boards

2nd board promoted to 3rd board

3rd board promoted to 4th board

7th board promoted to 8th board
None
Limit up was smashed

Fell in the top twenty

Yesterday’s limit up on ChiNext

Today’s limit up on ChiNext
None
Price Change Situation
Limit up 78 (excluding ST), limit down 10

1. Market
   Brief review.
   This week marks the beginning of a new cycle led by Huadian Liao Energy.
   Let’s review how Huadian became a phenomenon.
   Monday: 48-hour ultimatum, the index plummeted.

2. Index
   Unreliable statements about Iran opening the Strait of Hormuz in 48 hours, threatening to destroy its power plants; there were also reports of ceasefire negotiations.
   However, the pre-market Asia-Pacific market fell broadly, and funds still leaned toward risk aversion with the 48-hour ultimatum, leading to a low open and declining index.

3. High Position Sentiment
   Huadian Liao Energy: Surprising high open accelerated to limit up.

Shaoneng Co., Ltd.: Fell to limit down after rising.

Dashengda: Opened with a limit up but failed to hold after a turnover.

Dongfang Xinneng: Turnover to 3 boards.

3. Sectors
   Conflict Sector
   Although affected by a broad drop in the outside market, the oil and gas sector showed no reaction and began to gradually desensitize, with Intercontinental Oil and Gas fluctuating; Bomaike reached limit up.

Power Collaboration
Huadian Liao Energy accelerated, driving the power sector up; at the opening, Liaoning Energy’s first board assisted, with Tuori Xinneng, Zhejiang Xinneng, Lixin Xinneng, and others reaching boards, Dongfang Xinneng achieved 3 consecutive boards, but in the afternoon the index continued to weaken, leading to turnover failures.

Energy Storage
Strong differentiation in energy storage on Friday, with Zhengtai Power recovering to 2 consecutive boards, but the index dropped significantly, leading to limited effects; Jinlang Technology, Sunshine Power, etc., continued to decline.

Others
CPO’s selected Ruiskanda showed a long recovery leg, but due to the index’s significant drop, there was no sector support.

Oil and gas price increases stimulated electric vehicles to rise; BYD surged during the day, Aima Technology reached limit up.

The market remained sluggish, with the index briefly falling below 3800
Tuesday: Delayed strikes, index warmed

1. Index:
   Due to the delayed ultimatum, the external index surged, A-shares opened high and fluctuated downward, with last-minute buying.

2. High Position Sentiment:
   Huadian Liao Energy: After a flat open, surged significantly, turning over and recovering, opening up the height for 7 consecutive boards.

Dashengda: Fell after a high open, experiencing huge fluctuations throughout the day.

Dongfang Xinneng: Gradually declined after a flat open, rising and turning red with sector assistance.

3. Sectors:
   Power Sector:
   Due to a surge in the outside market, Liaoning Energy and Tuori Xinneng opened with rapid limit ups; Hunan Development, Shaoneng Co., Ltd., and others reached limit up, while Huadian Liao Energy aimed for 7 consecutive boards.

However, there were also divergences during the day; as the index fell, many power sector stocks faced turnover failures; but the index gradually stabilized, with power stocks recovering, with Huayin Power, Jieneng Wind Power, etc., reaching limit up, ultimately reaching a peak.

Computing Power Sector
As the index strengthened, computing power also performed with a surge, with Aorui De, Zhenshitong, and others reaching boards, Meiliyun’s limit up was smashed.

Lithium Batteries
Stimulated by rising electrolyte prices; Rongjie Co., Ltd. reached limit up in the morning, and the afternoon sector followed the index’s rise, with Tibet Chengtou, Guocheng Mining, etc., reaching limit up.

Technology
In the afternoon, besides the rebound in lithium batteries, storage surged significantly, driving the index up. AI hardware, Changfei Optical Fiber rebounded to limit up, and Yunnan Ge Industry reached a board in the last trading period.

Wednesday: Withstanding Pressure amid Divergence

1. Index
   The index continued to rebound; it was different from the previous 2.04, with sentiment showing little differentiation.

2. High Position
   Huadian Liao Energy: In light of yesterday’s explosive sector performance, it withstood pressure without fear of regulation.

Zhongli Group: After opening with a limit up, it experienced turnover but remained a poor board.

Liaoning Energy: T-shaped 3 consecutive boards.

3. Sectors
   Power: After yesterday’s peak, front-row Liaoning Energy, and the highest Huadian Liao Energy accelerated to limit up; funds initiated a new batch of low-position stocks; at the opening, Jieneng Wind Power, Guangdong Water Electric A strengthened, maintaining sector strength.

However, after a surge during the day, sentiment diverged in the afternoon, with back-row Green Power Dynamics and Yunen Holdings dropping, and Jinkong Power faced turnover failures.

Optical Fiber:
AI hardware Mingpu Guangci reached a limit up, Dingtong Interconnection rapidly reached 2 consecutive boards, driving the optical fiber sector to surge; Changfei Optical Fiber aimed for 2 consecutive boards. Yunnan Ge Industry’s limit up was smashed.

Computing Power:
Last night’s word Yuan gained popularity, with Aorui De directly reaching a limit up, driving the computing power sector to surge; front-row Dawei Technology and Litong Electronics reached limit up, Wangsu Technology, Capital Online, etc., surged, but the strongest core Meiliyun’s limit up was followed by a turnover failure, and Guanghuan Xinwang faced a turnover failure.

Others:
After the lithium battery explosion, differentiation was expected, with front-row Rongjie Co., Ltd. poorly performing with 2 consecutive boards, Guozhong Mining soaring significantly.

In the afternoon, during power sector divergence, Hunan Tianyan and Changcheng Military Industry achieved consecutive limit ups; Haixia Liang’an Pingtan Development reached limit up.

Thursday: The index weakened after consecutive rebounds

1. Index
   The index fell after two consecutive rebounds, facing divergence in the afternoon.

2. High Position Sentiment
   Huadian Liao Energy: After a high open, it fluctuated significantly, still able to reach a board during the day, but was smashed in the last trading period.

Liaoning Energy: Bidding was below expectations, fluctuating with the sector during the day.

Zhongli Group: After a low open, it peaked but continued to weaken.

3. Sectors
   Power:
   The sector experienced divergence, with Shaoneng Co., Ltd., Liaoning Energy, and Jieneng Wind Power surging and plummeting; Hunan Development’s 3 consecutive boards performed poorly. Overall leader Huadian Liao Energy fell but then recovered, with funds working on low-position Jinkong Power to strengthen itself and pull out several long legs like Guangxi Energy reaching limit up.
   As the index weakened, Huadian Liao Energy faced a turnover failure, while Huadian Energy recovered.

Computing Power:
Aorui De’s limit up was smashed, and the sector continued to weaken.

Lithium Batteries: Rongjie Co., Ltd. reached 3 consecutive boards, with the sector showing sporadic performances, Tianji Co., Ltd.'s first board was smashed, but there was no further explosion.

Commercial Aerospace: Zai Sheng Technology faced a turnover failure, and in the afternoon, with the assistance of Shenjian Co., Ltd., it recovered, with the sector experiencing a wave of anomalies.

Others:
Optical Fiber: Mingpu Guangci reached 2 consecutive boards, Dingtong Interconnection opened high and fell, Changfei Optical Fiber surged.

Weight Loss Drugs: Meinuohua quickly reached a board in the morning, and the sector also showed sporadic performances.

As technology stocks weakened, the index continued to decline in the afternoon.

Friday: Sentiment and index both recovered.

1. Index: Under the influence of a significant drop in the outside market, the index opened significantly lower; after several lows, funds entered, with a low open rising.

2. High Position Performance
   Huadian Liao Energy: Opened high with fluctuations, and low-position stocks became active.

Aorui De: Long legs recovered, but without sector support, it remained a poor board.

Rongjie Co., Ltd.: Turned over to achieve 4 consecutive boards, with the sector experiencing a small peak.

Meinuohua: Achieved 1+4 consecutive boards, boosting the weight loss drug concept.

3. Sectors
   Power: Funds continued to switch between high and low positions, Guangxi Energy opened with a limit up, Jinkong Power turned over to 2 consecutive boards, Dongfang Xinneng had long legs, and at the end of the day, Ningbo Energy reached a board, while Huadian Liao Energy fluctuated during the day.

Chemical: Rotated to the price increase line, with Baichuan Co., Ltd., and Jinzengda quickly hitting limit ups in the morning, leading to a small explosion in the sector.

Computing Power: The highest Aorui De opened lower and then pulled out long legs but was smashed; the main issue was insufficient sector cooperation, with only a few stocks reaching limit up.

Weight Loss Drugs: The second-highest Meinuohua continued to accelerate, boosting the pharmaceutical concept to reach boards, while in the afternoon, Shutai Shen reached a limit up of 20cm, and there was also arbitrage in Meinuo convertible bonds.

Lithium Batteries: As Rongjie Co., Ltd. continued to rise during the day, low-position Jinyuan Co., Ltd., Jiangte Electric Machine, etc., provided assistance; Rongjie Co., Ltd. achieved 4 consecutive boards, and in the afternoon, Ganfeng Lithium reached a board, with sentiment reaching a small peak, while Tianqi Lithium surged significantly.

Non-ferrous Metals: With the strength of lithium batteries, Yunnan Ge Industry had long legs recovering; metals, tungsten, etc., showed performances during the day.

2. Regarding Tomorrow

The biggest issue over the weekend is the risk of escalation in US-Israel conflicts, with US stocks dropping significantly on Friday night; tomorrow’s opening index is expected to be under pressure.

It depends on whether the cycle can stand out; last Monday the index dropped significantly, but the short-term Huadian Liao Energy still managed to strengthen, bringing some short-term effects.

Friday’s sentiment and index had a small peak, so Monday is expected to experience differentiation; if the external factors lead to lower opening bids, there may be opportunities for high-stakes stocks to rise again before falling back.

Here, after Huadian Liao Energy reached a high, as long as it doesn’t continue to follow A; low-position or popular stocks should still see funds rotating; in the low position of power, funds should also support a rebound after adjustments in Huadian, looking for opportunities for a rebound.

The second-highest Rongjie Co., Ltd. and Meinuohua still have high premiums tomorrow; currently, Meinuohua appears stronger than Rongjie; Rongjie Co., Ltd. mainly follows the lithium battery price increase logic, while Meinuohua seems to independently drive the sector. During the day, we should monitor how the support holds, as there will still be funds competing for the strongest crossings. Aorui De was slightly weaker on Friday, mainly due to insufficient sector support.

I will continue to watch the price increase lines (lithium batteries, chemicals, non-ferrous metals) and the first boards of low-position power stocks.

3. Operations

I previously mentioned there are significant positional differences, and I didn’t expect Rongjie Co., Ltd. and Meinuohua to emerge;

I’m working on Aorui De, and if it doesn’t perform tomorrow, I’ll exit.

Best wishes

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