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These 32 favorite stocks signal the bull market is running on fumes
These 32 favorite stocks signal the bull market is running on fumes
Mark Hulbert
Sat, February 14, 2026 at 7:03 AM GMT+9 4 min read
In this article:
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There’s less fuel in the stock market’s tank. - MarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphoto
The bull market has not yet reached its top, according to an analysis of the S&P 500 SPX sectors’ relative strength. But there are dark clouds on the horizon.
We can draw these conclusions because of the tendency for certain sectors to perform well at the end of a bull market and others to perform poorly. To derive clues about where we stand at any given time, we need to compare this historical tendency to where the sectors stand currently.
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There’s no immediate cause for alarm. Compare the sectors’ performance over the past three months with how they have performed on average over the last three months of every bull market since 1970 (courtesy of data from Ned Davis Research). It turns out that there is no statistically detectable correlation between these two rankings. That’s good news, assuming that sector relative strength at the end of the current bull market will be similar to what it was at the end of past bull markets.
This upbeat conclusion is based on looking in the rearview mirror. But what about later this year? What’s the likelihood that the sector ranking in several months will be more correlated with how the sectors performed at the end of past bear markets?
No two bull markets end precisely the same way. But their tops often have similarities. I’ve employed a similar analysis on several occasions in recent years. With few exceptions, the analysis correctly assessed that a market top was not imminent. The most recent such occasion was the end of June 2025, when I concluded that “the final top of this bull market is at least three months away.”
**Read: **Why stocks have climbed even after the appearance of three Hindenburg Omens
Relative strength later this year
There’s no way of knowing for sure, of course. But the stocks most recommended by the best-performing investment newsletters provide some early warning signals. These newsletters are good bets to continue their winning ways, and if they do, the stocks they’re recommending (and the sectors they represent) are likely to outperform those they find less attractive.
Unfortunately for the bulls, there is a strong correlation between the ranking of the newsletters’ most popular sectors and the sectors’ average ranking at the end of bull markets.
On average over the last three months of all bull markets since 1970, Utilities, Energy and Communication Services were the worst performers. Right now, those three are the newsletters’ least-liked sectors, suggesting they will lag the others.
Moreover, two of the newsletters’ three current favorites typically top the sector rankings at the end of bull markets: Health Care and Information Technology.
On the assumption that the newsletters will continue their winning ways, this means the sector relative-strength ranking later this year could be disturbingly similar to other bull-market endings. That, in turn, suggests a bear market could begin later this year.
In the meantime, the current sector relative strength ranking suggests the bull market is alive and well. With that in mind, below is a list of the stocks that (a) are in one of the newsletters’ three most-recommended sectors and (b) are each recommended by at least two monitored newsletters.
_Mark Hulbert is a regular contributor to MarketWatch. His Hulbert Ratings tracks investment newsletters that pay a flat fee to be audited. He can be reached at _
**More: **Consumers are sending investors this clear message about stocks
**Also read: **20 stocks of companies that delivered a double dose of growth this earnings season
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