These 32 favorite stocks signal the bull market is running on fumes

These 32 favorite stocks signal the bull market is running on fumes

Mark Hulbert

Sat, February 14, 2026 at 7:03 AM GMT+9 4 min read

In this article:

^GSPC

+0.05%

There’s less fuel in the stock market’s tank. - MarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphoto

The bull market has not yet reached its top, according to an analysis of the S&P 500 SPX sectors’ relative strength. But there are dark clouds on the horizon.

We can draw these conclusions because of the tendency for certain sectors to perform well at the end of a bull market and others to perform poorly. To derive clues about where we stand at any given time, we need to compare this historical tendency to where the sectors stand currently.

Most Read from MarketWatch

‘We have no prenup’: I want rights of survivorship in our marital home. My wife prefers tenants in common. Now what?
‘I feel the clock ticking’: My wife and I are in our 60s — and employ 48 people in a small town. Can we ever retire?
Social Security could run out of money in just 6 years — even sooner than originally feared

There’s no immediate cause for alarm. Compare the sectors’ performance over the past three months with how they have performed on average over the last three months of every bull market since 1970 (courtesy of data from Ned Davis Research). It turns out that there is no statistically detectable correlation between these two rankings. That’s good news, assuming that sector relative strength at the end of the current bull market will be similar to what it was at the end of past bull markets.

This upbeat conclusion is based on looking in the rearview mirror. But what about later this year? What’s the likelihood that the sector ranking in several months will be more correlated with how the sectors performed at the end of past bear markets?

No two bull markets end precisely the same way. But their tops often have similarities. I’ve employed a similar analysis on several occasions in recent years. With few exceptions, the analysis correctly assessed that a market top was not imminent. The most recent such occasion was the end of June 2025, when I concluded that “the final top of this bull market is at least three months away.”

**Read: **Why stocks have climbed even after the appearance of three Hindenburg Omens

Relative strength later this year

There’s no way of knowing for sure, of course. But the stocks most recommended by the best-performing investment newsletters provide some early warning signals. These newsletters are good bets to continue their winning ways, and if they do, the stocks they’re recommending (and the sectors they represent) are likely to outperform those they find less attractive.

Unfortunately for the bulls, there is a strong correlation between the ranking of the newsletters’ most popular sectors and the sectors’ average ranking at the end of bull markets.

Story continues  

On average over the last three months of all bull markets since 1970, Utilities, Energy and Communication Services were the worst performers. Right now, those three are the newsletters’ least-liked sectors, suggesting they will lag the others.

Moreover, two of the newsletters’ three current favorites typically top the sector rankings at the end of bull markets: Health Care and Information Technology.

On the assumption that the newsletters will continue their winning ways, this means the sector relative-strength ranking later this year could be disturbingly similar to other bull-market endings. That, in turn, suggests a bear market could begin later this year.

In the meantime, the current sector relative strength ranking suggests the bull market is alive and well. With that in mind, below is a list of the stocks that (a) are in one of the newsletters’ three most-recommended sectors and (b) are each recommended by at least two monitored newsletters.

Sector
Truist Financial Corp. TFC Financials
Bank of America Corp. BAC Financials
Bank New York Mellon Corp. BK Financials
Capital One Financial Corp. COF Financials
FactSet Research Systems Inc. FDS Financials
Fifth Third Bancorp FITB Financials
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. GS Financials
JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM Financials
Kinsale Capital Group Inc. KNSL Financials
MetLife Inc. MET Financials
Morgan Stanley MS Financials
M&T Bank Corp. MTB Financials
Bank OZK OZK Financials
PNC Financial Services Group Inc. PNC Financials
PayPal Holdings Inc. PYPL Financials
Regions Financial Corp. RF Financials
Charles Schwab Corp. SCHW Financials
U.S. Bancorp USB Financials
Abbott Laboratories ABT Health Care
Amgen Inc. AMGN Health Care
Bristol Myers Squibb Co. BMY Health Care
CVS Health Corp. CVS Health Care
Medtronic PLC MDT Health Care
Merck & Co. MRK Health Care
Pfizer Inc. PFE Health Care
Adobe Inc. ADBE Information Technology
Apple Inc. AAPL Information Technology
Broadcom Inc. AVGO Information Technology
First Solar Inc. FSLR Information Technology
Microsoft Corp. MSFT Information Technology
Nvidia Corp. NVDA Information Technology
Skyworks Solutions Inc. SWKS Information Technology
Source: Hulbert Ratings

_Mark Hulbert is a regular contributor to MarketWatch. His Hulbert Ratings tracks investment newsletters that pay a flat fee to be audited. He can be reached at _

**More: **Consumers are sending investors this clear message about stocks

**Also read: **20 stocks of companies that delivered a double dose of growth this earnings season

Most Read from MarketWatch

‘It’s not a sign that it’s going well.’ The median amount American workers have saved for retirement is $955.
‘I’m a loner’: I’m 62 with a multimillion-dollar portfolio and no heirs. Should I find a wife for my twilight years?

Terms and Privacy Policy

Privacy Dashboard

More Info

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
No comments
  • Pin