Opinion: Bitcoin will enter the final accumulation phase of this cycle, with a maximum decline of over 40%

ZkProver · 2026-04-03T05:37:33+00:00

ChainCatcher reports that, according to analyst Alicharts, Bitcoin has fallen 52% from its peak in October 2025. On February 27, a 3-day SMA crossover signal appeared (the 50-week and 200-week SMA moving averages crossed bearishly), and this has persisted for 30 days. Historical patterns suggest that within 3-6 days, the final accumulation phase of this cycle may occur.Alicharts points out that historical data shows that in every major cycle since 2014, the crossover of the 50 and 200 SMAs marked the absolute bottom and a golden buying opportunity. Past cycles indicate that 23-33 days after the crossover, there was a final decline of 40-52%, completing the bear market shakeout. The current cycle's potential shakeout target is between $30,000 and $40,000, before the next bull market begins.

ZkProver

2026-04-03 05:37:33

ChainCatcher message, according to analyst Alicharts, Bitcoin has fallen 52% since its October 2025 peak. On February 27, a 3-day SMA crossover signal appeared (a death cross where the 50-period and 200-period SMA lines cross). It has now lasted for 30 days. Historical patterns suggest that within the next 3–6 days, it may enter this cycle’s final accumulation window.

Alicharts points out that historical records show that in every major cycle since 2014, the 50 and 200 SMA cross has marked an absolute bottom and a golden buying opportunity. Past cycles show that 23–33 days after the crossover, there will be the last 40–52% leg down, completing the bear-market shakeout. The potential shakeout target for this cycle is in the $30,000 to $40,000 range, after which the next bull market should begin.

BTC0.64%

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