Whales are rushing in, and the Ethereum rebound battle is about to begin

Trading Direction (Multiple): Trade a Bounce with a Light Position, Absolutely Prohibit Holding Positions Against the Trend Trading: Based on the TD9 signal, you can trade a short-term bounce with a light position in the 2050 - 2060 range, targeting 2100 Wait for the price to pull back to around 2100, then after it meets resistance, enter short in line with the big players’ pace. Holding [Long Positions] Position strategy: Take profit or reduce positions in the 2080 - 2100 range, borrowing the modest rebound brought by TD9. Stop-loss level: Firmly set it at 1980. Once it breaks below 2000, the downside room will open directly to the 1800 area. Holding [Short Positions] We are currently at the bottom of TD9, so it’s not recommended to add to short positions at this time. It’s suggested to take profit on part of the position around 2050, lock in gains, and guard against an oversold bounce. Key support: 2000 (psychological level), 1937 (prior needle-injection low) Core resistance: 2100, 2166

News flow: Bear sentiment is venting, and big-player trading battles are intensifying Big player “pension whale” goes berserk opening shorts: This address (pension-usdt.eth) has continuously made four major add-to-position increases for ETH short positions within the past day, with total open volume exceeding 30,000 ETH (total value about $65 million), indicating that a top-tier whale is extremely bearish on the short-term trend. Geopolitics and macro pressure: Trump’s remarks about the Iran war mission triggered wild volatility in safe-haven assets. The U.S. dollar index rises, gold and silver plunge, and ETH, moving in tandem with BTC, breaks through an important psychological level. Bottom-picking index signal (bullish): The ahr999 index has fallen to 0.4908, entering a historic “bottom-picking zone,” which usually suggests that the current price has entered the DCA area for long-term investors.

Technical outlook: Choppy trading at low levels, TD9 rebound signals appear Current price: About 2066 Trend formation: After two waves of rapid selloffs, the price is currently moving sideways weakly in the 2040 - 2070 range, attempting to repair the moving-average deviation caused by the previous sharp drop. TD indicators: The chart shows a clear TD9 (green) bottom signal. In technical analysis, this usually means bearish momentum has temporarily run out, and there is a rebound or repair need over the next 3-5 candlestick periods. Moving average system (MA): MA24 (2057) is currently tangled with the price, with a strong resistance level above at MA120 (2089). If it can’t stand firm at 2100 on increased volume, the overall short structure remains unchanged.

Risk warnings and response plan Hacker liquidation risk: If the stolen 129,000 ETH is directly dumped on the secondary market, it will trigger a liquidity crisis. Response: Monitor on-chain address activity; if there is a large deposit to an exchange, immediately close your long positions. Geopolitical situation turns abruptly: Volatility is usually much larger around the time U.S. stocks open in the evening. Response: Try not to engage in heavy-position speculation during this time window.