Breaking News! Trump just announced: the U.S. military has completed the most daring rescue in history!


"We deployed dozens of fighter jets, armed with the world's deadliest weapons, and brought that pilot back!" As soon as Trump finished speaking, the world exploded. The missing crew member was injured, but his life was saved and he will fully recover in the future. Sounds like a blockbuster? No, this is real.
But the more shocking part is yet to come—after this rescue operation, data from a prediction market shot straight up: the probability of U.S. military entering Iran surged to 96.5% in a short time! An 11% jump in 24 hours. What does this mean? It means almost everyone in the betting market believes U.S. troops are about to step onto Iranian soil.
Note the rules: it’s not just flying over airspace or entering maritime zones; U.S. troops must set foot on Iranian land for it to count. Special forces are included, intelligence personnel are not. Now the probability is almost maxed out—do you think someone has already gone in?
On the other side, the energy markets are also going crazy. IEA Director Fatih Birol issued a stern warning: if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, the oil and refined product losses in April will be twice those of March! Currently, 72 energy assets have been attacked, one-third seriously damaged, even "very severely." Even if the conflict ends tomorrow, recovery will take months.
Fortunately, Saudi Arabia has a backup plan: they have urgently activated an alternative pipeline to the Red Sea to reroute oil exports. Saudi officials confidently claim the pipeline is well protected, but Birol added: if this thing is attacked, the global economy will be directly kneecapped. #Gate广场四月发帖挑战
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