[Red Envelope] Tonight's Live: April 3rd Breakdown - First Break, Then Pull Strategy: Explaining the One Sword Breaks Ten Thousand Laws, the Peak of the Main Uptrend, Only the Leader's Trading Method!

[Taoguba]
910k reads—click and finish the hands-on post; you’ll definitely gain knowledge like crazy in your head!
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510k reads—click and finish the technical post; you’ll definitely gain knowledge like crazy in your head!
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1: Pre-market strategy clearly laid out how many days in advance to talk about the turning day

Today, Tianyao hasn’t spiked in excessive volume—so it’s definitely a left-side buy point, all thanks to sheer stubbornness. Tonight, come to my live room and I’ll explain it to everyone point by point?

Let me stress a key thing: there’s another live session. After tonight ends, next Wednesday, April 8!! Everyone click my profile avatar to reserve a spot!

Who didn’t click my profile avatar to reserve the live session? Tonight at 9 PM, I’ll also teach the dragon-head trading strategy with ultimate first-line techniques—and I’ll give you some systematic conditions to reference. When there’s a breakout dragon-head opportunity, you can use it then.

Actually, turning-day markets often are like this. In the morning, it’s 4,500 stocks green. There are more down-limit stocks than up-limit stocks—that’s what a turning day is. When the market opens, it shrinks volume. It’s also a day where everyone is “bonded” around certain names. In the morning, from green 5 to down-limit, there are over 170 stocks. Up-limit count is still in the single digits—no even 10 up-limits. Just imagine how big the influence of the overall market and the turning day is.

In the afternoon, there are more than 30 down-limit stocks, and over 400 stocks are from -5 to down-limit. 4,700 stocks are green. Every time it’s a turning day, there’s never anything good—so isn’t staying in cash for everyone the smart move?

Today’s turning day—I said it several days in advance. In the pre-market strategy and again and again in the early-session warnings, I kept telling everyone not to open positions on the turning day. The only people who could go today are either高手 (top traders) or those who aren’t afraid to lose money. If you aren’t afraid of losing money, then there’s no need to study so much. I really said it with all sincerity. I’m speechless. Since you have plenty of money, why not come to the live room and brush some “golden powder” for visibility, so the 20k+ dragon fans will recognize you? I want your distinctiveness turned all the way up. Knowing the market is bad, still losing money to the market—throwing it into the sea would at least make no sound. Do you understand what I mean? I’m heartbroken for your money. I’m speechless. I don’t know what else to say. At 3 AM yesterday, I even sent messages to everyone warning about risk on the turning day—yet there are still people who can go to take over the call, picking up mid-rank stocks and single-character limit-ups and getting their heads blown off. Unbeatable. I guess they’re probably just passersby and not really “true dragon fans.”

Actually let me say this: no matter what model you trade—buying on dips, half-position entries, limit-up chasing, positioning for high labels, ladder-play, breakout continuation—if you don’t watch the environment, the overall market, the shrinking volume, and the adjustment cycle, your win rate will definitely get discounted. But if you zoom out over time, I often say: you can look back at one model and compare the last year’s “better-than-expected first board premium” and how the next day’s price runs. Then you’ll understand how strong this model is. You’re applying it to recent periods when the overall market is so bad—lack of premium is normal, so I’m the one who told you: when the overall market is not good and volume is shrinking, consider how the second sealing can release divergence first, and then raise and distribute next day. Didn’t Dàdōngnán do the same—only after the afternoon? In a chaotic period where volume is this severely depressed, many stocks are literally like that. Truly. Randomness. So either you go to cash—plain and simple—doing something every day while ignoring the market environment is just your own greed. But many people refuse to admit that problem! Wow, come on.

A dragon fan said: “Staying in cash is to correct your trading rhythm. The dragon master’s first-board model is great. Whether the first board can truly seal, and whether there’s premium the next day, has a lot to do with the overall market atmosphere, liquidity/volume, and the theme. Within that, distinctiveness and the above-expected price action at least increase off-market capital’s attention and improve the probability of sealing the board. The premium issue depends on each person’s understanding of the theme and the overall market’s volume/liquidity. There’s also an element of luck. If you want to improve the probability of that premium, you should coordinate better with market nodes when you act. The dragon master’s first-board model opened up new ideas for my trading model.”

Next, I’ll explain why Zhongli Group first gets smashed then pulled back, and how China Super’s pattern looks. Everyone can watch carefully as I continue—

2: Keep sharing more detail—real trading gold dust:

The communication patterns mentioned these past few days—after saying them for days, how strong are they? Yesterday I mentioned them again, and today every one of them is a big bullish day of more than 5%.

The top single-character limit-up by PetroChina Capital (910k) got headshot again—did the dragon family’s ancestral teachings make you afraid? Are you scared? How do many retail traders lose their principal and not even know it!! Come to me—I’ll directly help you avoid how much risk every day? First aim for stability, then aim for profit. A 20+ billion single-character limit-up—still opens the same way. So single-character limit-ups really are “keng”—especially in chaotic periods. Let me say it again.

At around 10:30 in the morning, the display showed volume shrank by over 510k again. Estimated 1.7 trillion—new historical low. At times like this, everyone still thinks about how much money they can make. You know this volume is equivalent to under 500 billion in the past, right? As long as there’s no volume, many stocks’ randomness becomes exceptionally, exceptionally large. That’s why chaotic periods are the root cause of many retail traders losing money—because you have to do it every day. When a bull market comes, people’s principal gets wiped out anyway.

Someone said: “Electricity stocks were all A-killed.” Others said: “Did Ai applications suffer? They’ve been down for two months and already are up over 50%.”

Sometimes you just感叹：in one market, every day there are different joys and sorrows—some people celebrate, some people grieve. But the root cause of losing money, I think, is something you can’t overcome: human nature. Unless you’re an extremely strong高手 who can move like silk and keep things smooth—but when the overall market is adjusting, you often walk along the riverbank—where is there any chance of never getting your shoes wet? You only understand when you’ve encountered the moment when thousands of stocks hit down-limit.

**3: The following are what I said at 3 AM last night: so everyone can check whether it basically all came true?****Some dragon fans understood the meaning of my pre-market strategy and drew inferences: an independent trend is used to fight against the overall market downtrend, and I also mentioned that logic in the morning.**It went early—some of the ones I pointed out were already gone a few days earlier—after all, I said this logic for days. It’s been up for a few days already—this is a福利 for dip-buying and swing-trading players!

Dragon fans—couldn’t sleep again at 3 AM. Here, let me give you a profit-anticipation “thinking forward” dry-goods to remind you: right now there are three ways the market’s money-making effect extends. First: if Zhongli Group + Xinneng Taishan can quickly break out into a second straight board, then the market will keep discovering this kind of “second wave” first-board structure after adjustment (the precondition is that distinctiveness is taken to the max—of that type).

Second: also, some trend-following names—for example, Longfei Optic Fiber, Hengtong Optoelectronics, Tefa Information, etc.

If the reversal-from-a-failed-setup trend structure is only average distinctiveness—for example, Shuhua Sports, Xin Hongtai—stuff like that.

Third: multi-wave formations—Fal Sheng + Hangdian shares. And Guosheng Technology, etc.

Doesn’t it feel like the 10 items above are all just “pretty-looking charts”? Everyone quickly go check the chart pictures I posted above? So for those A-kill chart patterns that bounce—don’t look at them, okay? I said it from the bottom of my heart. The core is distinctiveness. I’ve said it countless times.

Tomorrow Friday is the turning day, and volatility will increase. If you truly can’t control your hands—and you’re worried about getting headshot—then consider the “second round of capital attack” re-closing those high-distinctiveness names. Don’t go for the first seal.

For beginners, those afraid of losing money, with very low risk appetite: on turning days, I recommend you stay in cash each time. Handle only positions you already hold! And it happens to be right across from Sunday, holidays—holding cash and waiting for holiday-related fermented capital to choose what to do is probably better, right? But you worry that if you go during the holiday, the continuation/rely-on intent may be insufficient—wouldn’t that be awkward?

Here’s a big issue: Every time I write the main post, the pre-market strategy is packed with blood and sweat character by character. Yet the number of people who give rewards is going down. I hope dragon fans don’t “freeload” for free. This isn’t just money—it’s my recognition! Even 100 points per day also gets traffic. What I want is article traffic—do you understand? Thanks! If I write 10k+ words every day, is a single bottle of mineral water not worth it? I think that’s also why many excellent bloggers choose to retire and don’t want to share for free anymore. (100 points a day isn’t enough to buy a whole box of organic Tehronsu milk.)

4: My first sentence in the pre-market today, during market hours: for communication, I said yesterday’s leading ideas that wanted to抢钱. Second sentence at 9:40 AM, I said: some stocks like to smash first and then pull back.

You should all be able to understand that at 9:40 AM during market hours, what I was talking about was Zhongli—because yesterday the most dragon fans went there, right?? Isn’t it Zhongli? It’s something the whole world knows. And during market hours I also said Zhongli still had to pull up another wave. After I said that, within a minute it moved up. Actually all of these are very fine-grained order-flow/market-feel details—understanding of capital.

That’s “normal” behavior—if you’ve seen it often, dragon fans can understand how prop traders think.

Learn more: how prop traders think, and certain “distribution” tactics.

Core point: many people have too much principal, so you can’t bear too much. That’s the common ailment of retail traders. Normal thinking is: if you have $1M cash, you try with a few ten-thousand or $10,000 in the stock market. But many people don’t— they need to average down or add positions, or they directly put their entire life savings of tens of thousands into it. Don’t even talk about loans or leverage. That’s the real reason the mindset collapses. If you only have a little bit of principal, and after you produce 10x returns you then add, then everything becomes calm. The core is making you suffer due to position sizing and the size of your principal; otherwise if you only have 100 shares, you’d be smiling all the time. Advice: manage your own model—long/cash, multiple lots/partial positions is best; manage your principal, and everything remains fine.

I’ve always suggested trading only when the market is warming up. Every time it warms up, it basically lets you make money and exit in the red. Even if you make a mistake, you can still push up and get out. Think about it—isn’t that true? Even if you buy a few more during warming. Recently, many times the overall market is basically “garbage time,” suitable mainly for top traders because an adjusting overall market is the most fragmented. If you choose to trade when the overall market is bad, then when you do it every day, regardless of what you trade, you must accept this kind of unpredictability. Today, when people did relay, besides Tianyao Pharma that stayed on the board, many others got counter-hit and killed.

Timing is very important. Dragon fans—when you see how good it is to trade during a warming-up day, you’ll understand. You can make money easily. But every time it’s the turning day itself, it’s extremely difficult to handle. It hasn’t been just once or twice.

5: Mindset matters a lot

Dragon fans, look here: let me comfort the brothers. In this kind of environment lately, nobody is a god who gets it right 100% every time. Don’t blame yourself. Even prop traders with assets of over 2.9B are losing money together with everyone. Yesterday, many bought in Super China at 100-200 million, and Zhongli also at 100-200 million. Today losing a few million is as common as everyday life. You can’t say that because he has a lot of money, he doesn’t care—no, it’s not that. They also only do stocks within their model. Four words: profits and losses share the same root.

I know everyone will be unhappy when they lose money, but yesterday other prop traders went in and today lost several million—what about those who lost tens of millions, hundreds of millions, or even billions? How would they be better than you? The stock market is always about refining your mindset, turning inward and seeking. I think everyone knows their own problems best. Many people refuse to admit that they can’t stay in cash and still keep adding when the environment is bad. I also went through that path many years ago—I understand the pain and helplessness of dragon fans. We share this experience. When the market is bad, stay in cash and rest—I’ve said it countless times. It’s real. From March 3, when the overall market at high levels warned of risk—I’ve said how many times? I can’t clearly put it into words for this past month. And yesterday I also told everyone about the turning day. Lately I’ve basically kept warning of risks. The overall market still hasn’t been confirmed, right? Many people just don’t listen, and don’t control their position size. In a 1.7 trillion-ish market environment like this, respect the market. Don’t always see Tianyao Pharma making a huge gain and get jealous, brothers. With 5,000+ stocks, how many can there be? No need to envy these. In the Double Color Ball lottery, someone wins every year—why isn’t it you? Accept the unpredictability of this market. What we can do is: stay in cash, or take only small positions that won’t harm your body. Recently, what I’m saying is: if the overall market is good, I’ll tell everyone. For sure, protect your principal!

The big prop trader in aerospace—Yu Ge—also said something he’s never said after losing this much: “It hurts too much…” In aerospace, being conservative still lost at least 5-17k. Yu Ge didn’t even say this back when he cut losses 1M a few years ago in Jingan. Losses and staying in cash both continuously accumulate experience—feel the market!

A thing dragon fans say is also something I want to send: “Losses are only one part of trading; it might not be a bad thing.” I think it’s still practice that produces true knowledge. Listen to the dragon master’s theory: when the market isn’t good, go to cash. The logic is understood by everyone—but only when you personally lose money will you remember it. Teaching is one thing—living it is another. Which “yuzu” has never lost?

If dragon family members feel my main post and the pre-market strategy I write every night are pretty good!

You can also recommend it to your brothers and sisters around you—come to Taoguba and have them see it. Help people avoid detours! Thanks to you!

6: Why could I tell at 9:40 AM this morning that Zhongli would smash first and pull back? It’s because of this: understanding of the market and experience.****!

Dragon fans, here’s how several golden powder people understood today’s Zhongli:

First golden powder brother’s take on Zhongli: The panic sentiment in the morning was the “Dà Ceng” (big floor) plus Ziyang, together with the overall market. The prerequisite is that communication theme leads. Then a lot of left-side players will go in for low absorption. Big capital doesn’t need to maintain—it just waits until volume comes up, and then spends money. Otherwise it wouldn’t form what the teacher described. I exited in the red by one point because Longfei was off. After that, how they operated is their show. My cognition only reaches that much.

Q姐’s take on Zhongli: Yesterday a big fund entered—about 1.2 billion. The morning exit wasn’t even half. Big funds aren’t rushing. I’m panicking—what am I panicking for? Besides, communications is so strong today, and Zhongli has this concept too.

Second golden powder brother’s take on Zhongli: Dragon leader, optic fiber is pretty strong today. Huiyuan Communication is a single-character limit-up. Xinneng Taishan is chaining boards. Hengtong Optoelectronics. Longfei Optic Fiber is attacking the limit-up. Zhongli Group has an optic fiber concept too. The main force hasn’t run yet. Why am I rushing? I already ran half my position after it was up more than two points. If it doesn’t work in the afternoon, I’ll sell everything then.

Third golden powder brother’s take on Zhongli: Understanding isn’t necessarily correct—you need dragon brother’s guidance. From the yesterday 龙虎榜, even though there was net outflow, a few new prop traders entered. My cost to hold is about the same as theirs, and there weren’t any “black swan” issues. I didn’t panic and run at the open. I expected a wave of pull-up to distribute. The first time it pulled up, it was one point away from closing in the red, clearly not meeting the purpose of distribution—so I didn’t sell. The next two pull-ups were weaker each time, and the big orders were continuously flowing out. Also, when it pulled up near the lunch closing period, the probability of attracting bag-holders is higher. So I chose to sell. Remember what dragon brother said—small gains add up. Don’t be greedy.

Some dragon fans feel I don’t need to say cases like this—they think “if it didn’t meet expectation, then it just leaves, no need to analyze” this kind of survivor-bias yyy. They feel it’s hindsight mirror or bad habit forming for later. Also, making content is so hard. Some people want to listen; some don’t. But what I want to express is: I’m only telling everyone why I could tell that Zhongli stock would smash first then pull back—combining all kinds of factors. For Super China like that, just looking at “the sector does this” makes it hard. You understand? Everyone think about it.

This thinking method—if it fits, take it and use it. If it doesn’t fit, I’ll say less about it later. Hehe.

Now let me explain my understanding: why I knew it would smash first then pull back.

Everyone can look closely: at the open, because communication Huiyuan is a single-character limit-up “directly pass” to indicate promotion to the second board! And Xinneng Taishan directly opened with a premium higher. Communication clearly isn’t bad. Plus, right at the open there was capital attacking communication. In my pre-market message this morning, I mentioned that the communication basics had capital in attack. Big armies directly led: Hangdian shares, Longfei Optic Fiber, Hengtong Optoelectronics, 中天科技, all pulled to around 5% at the open. Going into more details: Tongyu Communications instantly hit the board; it also has communication—did you know that? I’ll add: Xinneng Taishan also has communication. At that time, they pulled hard above the moving average line. It’s obvious that capital wanted to make a “1 into 2” pattern—beautiful. So Zhongli Group was still underwater, in a range-shaking. The first thing everyone needs to understand is: Zhongli’s chart structure is similar to Xinneng Taishan. Capital will try to form an intraday “group-lift” of these types to distribute. From the human mindset angle, I’m saying this: also, everyone must understand how important the sector strength is. Zhongli Group has optic fiber and communication. Many experienced traders would naturally think it could rescue itself—that’s normal. Don’t say you don’t know it has communication—if you don’t know, ask AI or seriously check it.

Second point: it’s the stock’s behavior. The last couple of days, on March 30th, its first board was also fond of smashing first then pulling back. Take a look at Zhongli’s intraday timeline over those days. And the newly exploded-volume stock—when it pulls up and “shakes and washes”—that’s normal.

Third: the internet celebrity went there—counter-indicator. Everyone is afraid of riding in the same car. Once the internet celebrity comes, a low open is basically within expectations. If it’s within expectations, then immediately look at whether the sector is strong. Also whether the similar-pattern Xinneng Taishan from yesterday can give a “side push” (this one opens red—then there’s money wanting to do a 1 into 2!). Learn to infer the stock and the intraday situation—that tests your understanding of the market. So why do I say beginners are only suitable for choosing favorable environments? Because many people only know how to look at intraday strength/weakness from the timeline, but they don’t know how to understand the market and the stock’s expectations—those twisting logic loops in the order book.

After finishing the thinking logic, let me tell everyone: I think whether it ends up red or green doesn’t matter. Go by your understanding. Some people see it as gambling, whether you do or don’t do it isn’t wrong. Not doing survivor-bias analysis is also fine. That sentence is correct: if you don’t do survivor bias, then in this environment should you stay in cash or control position size? Maybe a 10 out of 1, or 20 out of 1 is enough to treat the itch and “practice mind calibration”! Why do some people insist on doing work every day? I just can’t figure it out. I’m also dumbfounded. So if everyone doesn’t want to think so many twisted things, then just set discipline within your own short-term trading model. That’s no problem. Now let me talk about the biggest difference between Super China and Zhongli.

A dragon fan said: “I think maintaining consistency in trading is the most critical—not whether Zhongli can close red, when it closes red. Once it closes red today, then next time wait—maybe you’ll end up waiting for a big drop. Doing it like that is hard to overcome human nature. My rule for myself is: if it hasn’t hit the limit-up by 9:45 AM, I clear out all positions. I overcome human nature through operational discipline.”

Dragon fan family members, this main post: 999 likes—only after midnight tonight (12 AM) I’ll write the pre-market strategy! Otherwise there’s no traffic. I spend at least 5 hours every afternoon on the replay + pre-market strategy. I even can’t be bothered to get a free like for 1 second? And some fans get 0 likes but view it over a hundred times. It’s outrageous. Put yourself in my shoes and think.

7: For Super China Holdings—someone asks, why isn’t it the same as Zhongli?

Next let me talk about the biggest difference between Super China and Zhongli: the sector is worlds apart—day and night. Everyone forgot what I said: “individual stocks obey the sector, and the sector obeys the overall market.” Most important, brother: first, yesterday it was already weaker than Zhongli—it failed to seal and got rejected. Second, today, what did aerospace do—did you really look carefully? Go check the early session: Shenjian shares, JuliSuoju, Reco Defense, and so on. That’s what the template looks like. So what does Super China have to do—why would you still expect anything? So do you understand the turning day and timing’s money-making effect now?

Also many people think it’s “hindsight” and “after the fact.” Actually, no. If it were hindsight, I wouldn’t have said at 9:40 AM that Zhongli would smash first and pull back. When people lose money, they all like to think in the worst direction—human nature makes them do that. But what I want to say is: every trade is slowly optimized. The external market environment was originally bad, and many people were just too急 (too impatient)! Couldn’t sit still—if you tell people to stay in cash for days, it feels like it takes many people’s lives—this kind of gambling spirit is what kept Macau holding funds, right?

And there’s another golden powder person who said something about Super China’s understanding: The conditions for Zhongli Group are that the sector must be strong. What about Super China? A strong sector with small resistance. Assume the overall market is good—today everyone is chaining boards. Do whatever about big Cengzi, Ziyang. When the environment isn’t good, Bingbing to Bingbing—

8: On days with divergence in the overall market: many people don’t understand how to cherish it. Hehe. Because many people think that helping him avoid losses isn’t anything—it only matters when it lets him “work” every day! Human nature!

On these days of divergence, I also took the chance to wash out those fake fans first, haha [thinking]. “Better-than-expected” is known already in the main up-move—it’s “strong keeps strong” (four words). Basically the next day it tops with a single-character limit. A ton of money comes to buy you. That’s people’s nature.

A golden powder sister said it right: the knowledge you learn by following dragon master is real gold. In this kind of day, the ones who can settle down are potential stocks. Market conditions—good or bad—are given by the outside environment. We can’t prevent it. But we can cultivate our mindset inward—at least we’ll know how to do it in similar environments later. Experience—no fresh thing in Wall Street.

Besides the reflection questions below, answering the following is very important too—this is about what happens next.

I think the class representative’s suggestion is good:

First: let’s collect any loss stocks that match within your own model after placing two or three limit boards. If they’re hard to sell, that’s okay too. One person says their two or three. I want to see whether the “wear and tear” in real practice can be summarized and solved! Me and the class representative can reply too. Also, dragon fans’ family can communicate with each other more!

Second: today, which stock do you think is the closest to a first-board better-than-expected move? Dragon fans, post 1-2 of them. Everyone learn from each other! Or if none, then say you couldn’t find it?

9: Yesterday, most sector stocks’ “anchoring points” basically didn’t match. When the overall market is weak, I said that the sector effect is hard. But the words below are worth a thousand gold—do you understand what I mean? I said it for many days already!

Let me tell the truth: recently, besides high-label stocks that can come out and drive sector effects, most first boards are actually “core distinctiveness group” trades, then arbitrage. Do you understand? Core, mind, distinctiveness. I used 5 punctuation marks to tell you: in a weak market, it’s like this. Also, those independent trend stocks like Longfei and the above few communication multi-wave patterns—no matter the overall market, no matter how you fall, I move my own way.

Right—recently, profit-forecast upside (performance pre-increase) is a bonus item! But don’t open higher and immediately hit the limit the next day. Go later—after that. I’ve said it in the replay!

10: Electricity sector: it’s been down for a few days; in the last two days there may be funds wanting to do repair

Xingzhonggang: 3 into 4, accelerate board; limit-up and promotion within 10 minutes.

Datong shares: also power equipment and grid… 3 into 4, accelerate board; limit-up and promotion within 10 minutes.

Xinneng Taishan: 1 into 2, accelerate; limit-up within 15 minutes. The faster the better. It also has communication + fiber optics.

Huadian Liaoning: within 20 minutes, a big bullish candle, preferably limit-up with a reversal from earlier weakness (back turn).

If the electricity sector truly is something people like, you also have to wait for a pullback and the moment when sector divergence turns into agreement. Don’t randomly bottom-fish, really. Trade for certainty.

Look at the relays above that were all headshotted—did any fit? I won’t list every sector one by one. Every night in the pre-market strategy I point you to anchored stocks, and every night I look at it—steady as Mount Tai. Actually, when you do that, you will have a much deeper understanding of the market.

When you look at the anchored stocks given in my pre-market strategy, most of them don’t match—which proves this sector is avoiding it, and the market is weak. Then randomness increases and certainty decreases. If you really go in, you’re basically betting on luck—unless it’s clearly a big overall warming day.

I’ll just say the simplest one sentence and you’ll understand: today the sector was strong early—Hangdian shares, Tefa Information—yet it dragged down. And at the end of the day, Tongding Internet actually lifted up. These are not big mid/army leaders (large “middle army”). Big mid/army leaders are strong—except for that. What I want to tell everyone is: this kind of disorder and randomness—stay calm, go long/cash based on your mindset, feel the market change~!

11: And the golden dragon fan said something that’s right: everyone anchored and went out at 5%—did you really? Are you sure? Warming-up days are always the most important.

Did you buy Meiliyun—didn’t it have premium? I bought Zhongli too—it didn’t have premium either. Isn’t this an environment issue? A sector issue? So don’t come out to do work. Is Aored not higher than Meiliyun in status? The chart is better than Meiliyun. But what performance has Meiliyun had recently—you haven’t seen it. The stock behavior—what’s “good”—you recognize him, it doesn’t make him a good person; you still go play with him. The sector has no continuity. Today communication reflows, and only the strongest Zhongli has profit—are the others not profitable?

When this “better-than-expected first-board” model anchors at 5%, at the warming-up node—when you know what it’s for—on the next day when it continues the warming-up, and you hit the board with a single-character limit—what are you doing for? It’s the strongest sector. The next day it’s always front-row premium. Saying more is exhausting. That’s my personal understanding. I think playing this first-board isn’t that hard.

Dragon fans who learned knowledge can help: in the main post comment section, reply more to new dragon fan questions every day. The more replies you post and the better they are, the more you’ll become a designated class representative of our “Long family” main post. Excellent class representative—when you have lots of dragon fan questions, I’ll directly follow you. The Long family is a big family. Hope dragon fans are harmonious and loving; daily exchanges—many excellent stock friends learn together and progress! Climb the posts every day—absolutely knowledge grows and you’ll get it fast!

Dragon brothers, starting now: for Long family silver powder likes exceeding 10,000 likes, I will follow all of them. Already followed: the first 10, 1-10. Especially thanks to each dragon fan for helping by liking every day—really warm! If it exceeds 20,000, I’ll follow you specifically/extra. Golden and silver powder front-row distinctiveness—I recognize them all and prioritize replying every day! With interaction value, you’ll have it every day by liking. Mobile likes are faster and not limited. If you have time, go like my older main posts too (tap “(Only the OP) click me to reply/like followers’ replies”—you can like). I hope everyone likes more and directly creates distinctiveness in the front row in our Long family. Brothers, if you follow me extra, during intraday you can receive my reminders about warming-up and risks first. Love you. Thanks for every like—发财涨停 (get rich and hit limit-up). (Maybe if I reply to fans after 3 PM, it may get noisy—sorry in advance.)

12: Afraid everyone didn’t see the class representative’s dry goods!

Let me ask you three questions, brothers and dragon master—hehehehe. Brothers, I’m upping the difficulty!

1. Today’s market rotation: medical, lithium batteries, commercial aerospace, and power + optical fiber.
   It’s not surprising—because on the day electricity declined (power pullback/withdrawal), the ones opposing it were medical and commercial aerospace lithium batteries, passing the baton. Today, given the expected divergence, it’s reasonable to have them. However, the lithium batteries PK originally failed, so today’s weak reflow is also understandable. Shenjian from commercial aerospace gave way similarly. On top of that, tomorrow’s expectation is medical divergence; the expectation is for Datong + Xinzonggang, with a probability of getting to 4 as the high B. Then unless they all die together, electricity is hard to have a real bounce; otherwise it has no cards to play. So this logic deduction suggests electricity has a chance of rotation repair—meaning the sector hasn’t fully “catastrophically died,” and then electricity high leaders are relatively safer in a rolling “trend.” Is this logic reasonable?
2. Today observing Tianyao Pharmaceutical: a better-than-expected single-character limit-up led medical differentiation, but it also reflowed. At the end, there was a limit-up by Dalu Medical from the same-node issue. This leads to market recognition of the same-day node logic. In other words, it’s like “guiding the 3B better-than-expected backwards” and matching the same rhythm of the market: Kaifang + Xinneng Taishan board-lift. Then in this logic, for something like Kaifang—which is a mid/army trend and offers space—what exactly is the buy/sell timing at the same-node linkage? From the perspective of chained boards, what I understand is: “keep the strong and let go of the weak.” But doesn’t this kind of limit-up chasing board for stocks like Longfei and Jiu’an have a not-so-great risk-reward ratio? What thinking is required?
3. Dragon master, I want to ask: in this kind of market, if you don’t use margin financing (two-margin), and your fund size isn’t big—like one million—during the last two months, how much profit would you personally think you made, and is that “passing”? Then what do you think is the biggest difference between retail traders and youzi (big players)?
   ps: Who is the one who didn’t like?! Right now the main post only has 600 likes… oh my, come on… isn’t this content not done yet?!
   Two questions are a bit difficult, and one is somewhat interesting.

Dragon fans, here’s some super dry goods I wrote—think about it.

1. In yesterday’s pre-market strategy, I wrote that electricity would have rotation repair expectations, after all it already fell a lot. Actually, the market isn’t just Datong and Xinneng Taishan in the main upswing—it also includes Xinneng Taishan and Huadian Liaoning, and others that were stirring. You can’t say it’s “safe.” The essence is: discovering low-position things that haven’t run yet makes people feel electricity isn’t over—then the others can distribute and money has a place to go to take. So only then electricity can keep moving. Is this logic right?

2. For the “same-node born” strong ones: they will “reverse push” (反推). But Jiu’an and Longfei’s risk-reward needs either dip-buying or half-position entries. Board-chasing is relatively average, because many stocks that originally are on a trend—when they accelerate into a limit-up, it often becomes the last segment for distribution. That requires dip-buy and swing-thinking, plus multi-wave thinking. But how do you confirm you won’t be the one stuck with a “Kaifang”-type? That’s why it’s so particular: it demands understanding of the order book and the market, where funds have been attacking, and what logic they’re using.

3. Just say a few key fundamental differences between retail traders and prop traders. From the “three major dimensions,”
   Cognition level: retail traders look at up/down and chase hot spots, with no logical closed loop; prop traders and高手 look at sentiment and make forecasts, mastering rotation patterns.
   Operation level: retail traders like to go all-in, don’t cut losses, make small money and lose big money. Prop traders and高手 split positions, control positions, and strictly cut losses; they only make money within what they understand.
   Capital level: retail traders passively follow and are driven by emotions; prop traders and高手 actively guide and manufacture emotion gaps (like dragon-head positioning and mid/army linkage). Retail traders earn “luck money”; prop traders earn “cognition money.” Many retail traders fear drawdowns, while高手/prop traders control drawdowns.

4. Recent profitability—there’s nothing to deny it, but it depends on whether you want stability or speed. In any case, I think it’s most stable when you’re making cognition money. You know why you buy, why you sell, and why you go to cash—that’s the core. Like in my intraday message, I told everyone the aerospace sector needed distribution! It would borrow Shenjian to distribute. Then all your following/follower varieties actually need to be dumped. Not talking about profit or loss—that’s the intraday discipline. You must understand why to sell. You can’t use “what it does tomorrow or the day after tomorrow goes up/down” to judge. Without discipline, short-term trading doesn’t become big.

Dragon fans, look here: “node dry goods.” “Same-node born strong” means everyone starts from a first board. I’ve already done 5-board, 6-board, 7-board—shouldn’t you bring along this “same-born little brother” in war-torn times? N-character reversal-back tactics, etc. And take a look at Dongfang Xineng—do you know why it can break out? Go look at March 16 when it did a first board together with Huadian Liaoning. Then March 19, Huadian Liaoning reached 4 boards. When there was potential for breaking through and becoming a “problem solver,” on March 19 Dongfang Xineng responded and went on to 3 more boards. This kind of thing is usually arbitrage-node logic. Later if there’s opportunity, I can teach everyone like this too.

Daily thinking questions for everyone—this is how you improve!

1: Today is the turning day, and it’s a river of blood and corpses again. In the last two months, there were so many turning days—if my memory is right, only a few were good. Next time a turning day comes, will you still bet on a warming-up bounce?

2: Why did Tianyao Pharmaceutical break through versus Meinohua, yet the medical sector didn’t have a big explosion—was it because they don’t recognize its position, or because the environment is too bad?

3: For the communication sector: I told you more than ten days ago it should go trend upward into a big second wave, and the pre-market strategy also said so. Do you remember? Was the forward-looking insight invincible? Many Tefa Information, Fal Sheng, Hangdian shares, Hengtong—all count as second waves. The most core question of communication is who—everyone knows it. Longfei, trend big second wave, no problem, right? But here’s the test: do you know what kind of funds are doing it?

There are 2 more simple ones below—best to post them in two separate comments. Me and the class representative will review and analyze the homework together！（Let me see the dragon family members who want to improve!）

1: Did you go fully into cash today? If you were in cash, say “cash”—if you weren’t, tell us which stock you went to, and ideally why you went. (This helps you think about what you were thinking at that time.) Me and the class representative + other excellent stock friends will analyze together and improve! Friendly交流.

Don’t be shy. Do the homework and communicate more—only then will you progress each day and avoid mistakes. Right now not losing money is victory. And with me and the class representative accompanying you, a long journey—win together!

Wishing 159 golden powder members a continuously prosperous year every month and compounding profits, realizing life dreams! Always remember: if you have questions, just DM me anytime!
The golden powder icon is golden and shining, and the live room is also golden. I’ve pinned golden powder comments to the top, and I’ll reply immediately! Thanks!

@hxf108833780@轻海重生@股道2007@威震海疆@cgn9273@十斤@坚持者6666@深南大道粤@254637@我是阿斌@心海相印@风筝的风@赵二老哥50W起步@风涨@浩瀚光影@弓长建@作手方源@98蒙古王@inherit@大帅220716@殷廷仁@铁碗子树木@顺洋万里@作手子幽@封涨停板@小瑞哥@一首开开@狂野男孩123@阅未来@小慧520@悠悠春茶@彼得潘是对的@新视界追风者@D字头铁轨@不忘初心方得始终呀@辣子@笑傲江湖之禅心@庞佳榕@起飞的杯子@实燚@JH翻倍再翻倍@杨杰应急转贷@清香茶壶@大道顺势@小巴嘎嘎吧@强悍如水@探险王者@a稳定炒股@爱吃萝卜干@树恩将军@大泡和大蛋@萧山超家@马虎兔子@九边PRO@松涛Lee@SSJJAA@任飞扬@蓑衣孤客@周周丶丶@庄稼思嘛@耳东陈小哈哈@煩煩烦烦烦@小象2@比较潇洒@小狮子0629@fantasylzhe@虚心吸收@二十六划生@黑猫处长@娉婷袅娜@为战而狂@戴一炒股@牛东雨哥@蓝海1916@果味优橙多@许志凌@masterwu@心月声@hua123@梭哈却跌停@苏州城外的微笑@依山看雪@深情男人被套牢出感情@蜜丝奥特曼@九日7397@grrs8980@快水@把爱留在98@Adyzhong@彤彤小公举@天选小鳄鱼@1582556@山野村夫77@股市冇善人@征服大长腿@无敌随缘@皮蛋刀客@骑着野牛飞@啦啦啦啦巴恩@宁丰珞@燃青@雷霆战车@午火屠龙@悟道非常道@超人369@飞龙在天泓宇@zgh骑牛找牛@天由@wilshen@一网一网全是鱼@择时才是王道@AA金钱豹@曲线前面@君何晚星@偶尔搞搞@白灵山人@戛戛123@大傻冰@蓝色蓝@liknsaid@不屈飞鱼@40玩家@一白月光@camuikent@Ella梁@魏小涛@五AAAAA@付坤@焱垚兄长@静心重来@大肉丸2023@水门127@毅然1998@LJM193806@加一份浇头
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@往事随风990 @阿尔法战

Thank you so much to the 68 dragon family members who rewarded the main post yesterday! It helped the main post’s traffic. I’ll remember every name you gave! You showed your distinctiveness!

@大通5588 @清香茶壶 @camuikent @娉婷袅娜 @傅建平 @毕生追求 @蓝山咖啡ts @可爱渣 @笑看风云1949 @人生如梦2024 @拾海 @彤彤小公举 @haxx @为战而狂 @KLV猫 @cloudyseeker @与时推移 @芒格小迷弟 @小铜子 @钧子好逑 @煩煩烦烦烦 @京牛立极 @一九肆 @2233七七八八 @招财进宝还中奖 @大海里的一小粒沙 @向上突破九万里 @有理村主任 @我悄悄地来悄悄地走 @才情绝卓杨小白 @峻石 @飞扬hawk @水晶之念 @烟火繁华 @挺仔舟 @fzbyfd @柴哥如戏 @热天88 @稳定大叔 @卡夫卡ww @Q女士 @作手神一 @走在刀尖上的青年 @戛戛123 @风筝的风 @Adyzhong @崑仑山 @恶鬼出世 @南山北 @天选小鳄鱼 @卡卡开司 @起云2026 @股海李淳风 @空心100 @一网一网全是鱼 @鳄鱼minidi @我要实现一个小目标 @姚羊 @阳台卧着 @断波轮缠 @道者天助 @一条小蛇皮 @炒股小皮努 @庄哥说股 @三水成江 @细华i @殷廷仁 @DCH黄生

Thanks so much for the top 10 reward list for the previous main post—thank you, brothers and sisters for your support! Grateful and etched in my heart! I’ll directly name you—thanks for the front-row support!

Rank 1: @大通5588

Rank 2: @清香茶壶

Rank 3: @camuikent

Rank 4: @娉婷袅娜

Rank 5: @傅建平

Rank 6: @毕生追求

Rank 7: @蓝山咖啡ts

Rank 8: @可爱渣

Rank 9: @笑看风云1949

Rank 10: @人生如梦2024

Thank you very much to the dragon family brothers who rewarded the pre-market strategy last night! I’ll go straight to screenshots to thank you!

Thank you very much to the 10 “龙虎榜” brothers who supported the post last night with rewards! Push good articles for traffic! We need everyone’s help to boost rewards and send encouragement so the post becomes an “essence” featured post! Thanks! The more “rolls,” the higher the traffic!

Rewards,催播 (boost reminders), encouragement—points accumulated from these can become the Long family golden-powder battle squad too! Thank you so much to the brothers who helped push/boost reminders; you showed your distinctiveness. Thanks! For the platform to push good data for reminders so we can have the next live session, live resources are very important—this affects whether we can keep doing long-term live sessions and explain dry goods to everyone. More than what you learn from text, live teaching is faster and more abundant. Brothers with conditions can help push reminders too—200 points. Thanks!

Thank you to 427 dragon family brothers and sisters for the live session rewards and companionship. We walked together the whole way—together we’ll see the clouds open and the bright moon appear. Wishing you strong reds month after month with your “horse year” account, step by step new highs. Even 100 points as a reward is love—because it brings live traffic too! Love you!!