$RAVE Now, is it really time to pick a side?

Right now, there’s a chorus in the market all calling for short RAVE, but on my end I actually think we should first let the brothers calm down—don’t rush to pick a side.
At this point, whether going long or short, neither really offers a good cost-performance ratio. Judging from on-chain data, a fairly clear signal is that—spot has basically finished distributing, which means there’s indeed a significant risk of a pullback ahead.
But the issue is right here: sentiment is clearly leaning bearish. Yet the more unanimous everyone is in looking down, the less it’s suitable to blindly follow and chase shorts. Why? Because this current sideways grind lower could very well just be the main players “washing out” people—not a real, trend-following distribution.
Put simply, the hardest part of this kind of market is the extreme level of uncertainty. The drop you’re seeing might just be smoke; the breakdown you think you see might just be bait to lure emotions.
At this time, the steadiest strategy isn’t guessing the direction—it’s to stand by first, and then act once the structure plays out. How the market moves has never been decided by retail traders; the timing always stays in the hands of “庄”.
Don’t rush—be patient. Real opportunities will surely appear only after emotions are at their most chaotic.
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