Trade Review | 2026.04.16 ETH Multi-Period Chan Theory Structure Breakdown

1. Quick Overview of Core Market Structure
Current ETH Price 2335.54
4H Major Level: Upward wave initiated from 1936.54 continues, breaking previous high at 2385.78, reaching a new high at 2416.40, currently in a retracement phase after the upward wave, the bullish trend on the major level is fully established
1H Intermediate Level: After completing a top divergence at 2416.40, it enters a correction wave, currently oscillating in the 2330-2340 range, downward momentum gradually releasing
15F Minor Level: From the 2416.40 high down to 2301.60, completing a standard decline wave, currently in the rebound correction phase after the decline, bearish momentum exhausted

2. Key Resistance / Support
4H 2350-2416 (Previous High)
3. Two Possible Future Trend Scenarios
✅ 【High Probability: Correction stabilizes, continues the main upward trend】
Trend: Price holds support at 2300-2320, the rebound wave on the 15F level stabilizes the 1H level, re-challenging the 2416 previous high, breaking through opens a new round of main upward space
Response:
Long positions: Can be gradually accumulated in the 2300-2320 range, with strict stop-loss at 2280 (exit immediately if broken, do not hold through)
Short positions: Do not chase shorts, wait for a rebound to the 2350-2370 resistance zone, look for top divergence to short at higher levels

⚠️ 【Low Probability: Deep correction, testing the central zone】
Trend: Weak rebound, effectively breaking below the 2300 critical line, retesting the 4H midline support in the 2250-2280 range
Response:
Long positions: Strict stop-loss at 2280, exit and observe, do not bottom fish or add positions
Short positions: Follow the trend for a high-level short, target at 2280, avoid fighting the trend

4. Core Trading Recommendations
Main trend only bullish, not bearish: On the 4H level, the upward trend is clear, correction is an entry opportunity, avoid blindly shorting against the trend
Risk control always first: Strict stop-loss at 2280 for longs, 2370 for shorts, small stops with large space for profit
Control your hands, manage positions: High leverage trading, light positions for trial, avoid full-position all-in
Respect structure, avoid subjective predictions: 2300 is the bullish life line, do not short if not broken, do not hold through if broken

5. Final Encouragement
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