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Just noticed the eurozone bond market making some interesting moves this week. The 10-year German government bond yield dropped to around 3.012%, down 2.6 basis points, while Italian bonds actually outperformed with a 3.6 basis point dip to 3.767%. Pretty solid performance considering what's been going on.
The shift seems tied to cooling rate hike expectations - makes sense given the oil price situation keeping inflation concerns in check. What's interesting is how the market's becoming less reactive to Middle East headlines and more focused on ECB signals and bond supply dynamics. Money markets are basically pricing in unchanged rates for April, which is probably weighing on yields.
Obviously US Treasuries moved in the same direction but the eurozone government bond decline looks sharper. Worth keeping an eye on how ECB messaging plays out - that seems to be the real driver right now rather than external shocks.