Lately, I don't really want to "predict" when looking at the market; it feels more like practicing to take my hand off the mouse. The interest rate lever is actually pretty straightforward: when money is expensive, everyone becomes more risk-averse, and positions naturally shrink; when money loosens up a bit, narratives are easier to ignite, and I also get more itchy hands. To put it simply, macro factors don't necessarily directly determine whether prices go up or down, but they decide how much emotional cost you're willing to pay for volatility.

Additionally, the shortage of hardware wallets is quite interesting. When the market gets tense, collective security awareness kicks in; but phishing links also become more frequent, as if waiting for people to panic. Anyway, the practice I’m doing now is: double-check addresses/links before adding positions, and don’t let emotions drive selling. It’s better to miss out on a little profit than to mix "safety" with "impulsiveness." That’s all for now.