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Just been watching the silver market and it's pretty brutal right now. XAG/USD has been fighting to stay above that $74 level for a while now, but the pressure from a stronger dollar keeps pushing it down. The Dollar Index has been rallying hard, and every time a Fed official talks about sticky inflation in services, the market prices in more rate hikes. When rates stay higher for longer, silver gets hit because it doesn't pay yield like bonds do.
Looking at the technicals, $74 is basically the line in the sand. If it breaks and stays below, we could see another leg down toward $72.50. That said, the RSI is looking oversold, so there might be room for a bounce from here. The volume profile shows a lot of trading happening around the $74-75 zone, which tells me there's genuine interest at these levels.
What's interesting though is the industrial side. Unlike gold, silver actually has real demand from solar panels, EVs, and 5G infrastructure. The Silver Institute put out research showing the market is in a structural deficit, meaning industrial demand keeps outpacing new mine supply. That's a pretty solid fundamental floor under the price, even with all the financial market noise.
Gold has also pulled back below $2,150, but the gold-to-silver ratio has widened to over 80:1, which historically is pretty high. Some traders see that as a sign silver might be relatively cheap compared to gold right now. Either way, everyone's going to be laser-focused on the next Fed communications and inflation data. That's really what's going to move the needle on silver price direction in the near term.