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The Federal Reserve's policy shift may bring new opportunities to the digital money market.
At the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting on March 19, a series of significant decisions sent "dovish" signals, which have far-reaching effects on the global financial markets, including new development opportunities for the Digital Money market.
The Federal Reserve has slowed the pace of balance sheet reduction since April 1, significantly lowering the cap on U.S. Treasury sales, while keeping the cap on MBS sales unchanged. This move aims to stabilize market liquidity and leave room for future adjustments to monetary policy. Coupled with the expectation of two potential interest rate cuts within the year as indicated by the dot plot, market liquidity expectations have become more accommodative.
For the digital money market, on one hand, as traditional financial market funds seek new investment directions, digital money, as an emerging investment field, may attract some funds flowing out of the traditional financial market due to its high return potential and unique technological characteristics. For example, the fixed total supply and decentralized nature of Bitcoin make it a new choice for investors' asset allocation when market liquidity is ample. On the other hand, the market investment sentiment has become more positive, boosted by the shift in Federal Reserve policies. Investors' acceptance of risk assets is increasing, and the activity in the digital money market is expected to further enhance, with trading volume likely to continue expanding.
Powell mentioned that tariffs drive inflation expectations. Although the extent of inflation's impact is difficult to determine, long-term inflation expectations are currently stable. The Federal Reserve will flexibly adjust policies based on economic data. This provides a relatively stable macroeconomic environment for the development of the Digital Money market, reducing the uncertainty risks brought about by significant fluctuations in the macroeconomy.
Overall, the Federal Reserve's policy adjustment has brought a dual benefit of capital inflow and increased market confidence to the Digital Money market. However, it should be noted that the Digital Money market itself has high volatility and high-risk characteristics. While seizing opportunities, investors should also fully assess risks, invest rationally, and closely monitor market dynamics and policy changes to proceed steadily in the new market environment.
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