The U.S. government is unlikely to resume operations in the short term, and the probability of the shutdown ending significantly increases after November 16.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to Polymarket data, the probability of the U.S. government shutdown ending after November 16 has increased to 44%, indicating that the market expects the government to have difficulty resuming operations in the short term. The data shows a 3% chance that the shutdown will end between November 4 and 7, 22% between November 8 and 11, and 30% between November 12 and 15. As of now, the U.S. federal government shutdown has lasted 37 days, setting a new record. The previous longest shutdown was 35 days at the end of 2018 to early 2019. Analysts point out that the two parties remain deadlocked over the funding bill, with the Senate having failed 13 times to pass a temporary budget proposed by the Republicans.