Secondary Market Daily Report 20251231

Market Trends The cryptocurrency market is currently in the final phase of 2025’s consolidation and volatility period. Due to liquidity shortages during Christmas week, the market exhibits typical “year-end stock game” characteristics. Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are constrained by the largest-ever options settlement, significantly amplifying volatility. Although macro uncertainties and regulatory shadows persist, institutions are accelerating their shift from “narrative-driven” to “fundamentals-driven” strategies. It is expected that 2026 will officially usher in an era of practical and deeply integrated institutional participation. Mainstream Coins BTC There is a short-term opportunity for a five-wave rebound to challenge $89,400. Fundamentally, Japan’s Metaplanet has continued to buy 4,279 BTC in Q4, reinforcing long-term holding confidence. However, caution is advised: the risk of long liquidation after settlement remains. If resistance at $90,600 cannot be broken, watch out for a retracement to $88,000. ETH Significant bullish signals from institutions. With staking rates approaching 29% and ETF accumulation ongoing, ETH’s position as a “digital financial benchmark rate” is further solidified. Although short-term volatility has been triggered by large holders depositing tokens into exchanges, long-term institutional accumulation (such as Trend Research’s lending purchases) provides strong support at the bottom. It is recommended to buy on dips below $4,000. SOL On-chain activity leads the market, with $119.5 being a strong current support level. Benefiting from CFTC’s classification as a commodity and ETF expectations, institutional funds are accelerating their flow from BTC to SOL. If support holds, the short-term target ranges from $133 to $142.5, making it a core asset to challenge historical highs in 2026. BNB Fundamental recovery continues. The full-year record of zero downtime in 2025 and a 40.5% increase in TVL demonstrate its practical value. As the 20,000 TPS goal progresses in 2026, BNB is evolving from a simple platform token to a high-performance infrastructure. The current RSI shows clear bottoming signs, and the upside potential is open. Popular Coin Dynamics SEI Has long-term breakout potential. The upcoming Giga upgrade in Q1 2026 is a key catalyst, aiming for 210,000 TPS and sub-second settlement. Despite monthly linear unlock pressures of 1%, institutional optimism for its “AI Agentic Economy” payment layer is high, making it a key focus in the 2026 L1 track. ARB Faces serious bearish risks. On January 14, 2026, 17.93 million tokens will unlock, and on March 16, a massive release of up to 1.1 billion tokens (76% of circulating supply) is expected. Without token empowerment reforms, this scale of “unlock fatigue” will exert long-term downward pressure on prices. It is advised to avoid for now. HYPE Has bullish opportunities. Recently, an 11% token burn has created a strong deflation narrative and has been included in ETF applications by institutions like Bitwise. As a blue-chip in the perpetual contract (Perp DEX) sector, its current zero-cost airdrop holding strategy is guiding the market toward a new value consensus. SUI In a structural accumulation phase. Despite a 1.17% unlock pressure during New Year’s, its 7-day TVL increased by 7%. Its plans for protocol-level privacy transactions in 2026 and ETF developments give it strong resilience against declines. It is recommended to position on the left side within the $1.3 - $1.8 range. The above information is automatically generated by @xhunt_ai and does not constitute investment advice.