U.S. President Donald J. Trump announced today on social media that he has instructed the Secretary of War and other relevant government agencies to begin identifying and releasing all government files related to “aliens, extraterrestrial life, Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP), and Unidentified Flying Objects (UFO).” He emphasized that “all highly complex but extremely important information” will be disclosed, and stated, “God bless America.”
Trump’s statement quickly triggered market reactions. According to the decentralized prediction market Polymarket, the market price for “Will the United States confirm the existence of extraterrestrial life before 2027?” surged after the news, jumping from nearly 10% to around 20%, reaching a recent high.
(What is a prediction market? Polymarket beginner’s guide: betting methods, settlement processes, and risk analysis)
The rules of the bet state that as long as “the U.S. President, cabinet members, members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any federal agency” explicitly confirm the existence of “extraterrestrial life or its technology” before December 31, 2026, the market will settle as Yes; otherwise, it will settle as No.
Currently, no further details have been announced by officials, nor have any new files been made public. The market’s subsequent movement will depend on whether the U.S. government releases concrete evidence that can be regarded as a “definitive conclusion.”
This article, “Trump orders UFO files to be released, Polymarket ‘extraterrestrial life confirmation’ bet surges to 20%,” first appeared on Chain News ABMedia.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
US Democratic Lawmakers Propose Ban on Officials Using Inside Information to Trade Prediction Markets
Gate News: On March 17, U.S. Senator Chris Murphy and Representative Greg Casar introduced a new bill called the BETS OFF Act, which proposes to prohibit government officials from engaging in prediction market betting while possessing inside information. The bill specifically targets suspected insider trading in events related to U.S. actions in Venezuela, Iran, and other locations, aiming to restrict officials from profiting from sensitive policy and military information.
GateNews1h ago
Polymarket Data: Market Betting on 30% Probability of One Federal Reserve Rate Cut This Year
Gate News: On March 17, Polymarket prediction market data shows that the market odds for the Federal Reserve cutting rates 1 time by 25 basis points this year stand at 30%, with a 23% probability of no rate cuts, and a 23% probability of 2 rate cuts totaling 50 basis points. The prediction market has currently exceeded $10.25 million in trading volume.
GateNews3h ago
New Polymarket Account Bets $150,000 Predicting Netanyahu to Step Down Before End of March
On March 17, Polymarket prediction market data showed that a new account bet $150,000 that Netanyahu would step down before March 31. Despite a clarification video posted from his official account, the unusual activity raised questions, with the current prediction probability at 4%. The account had previously been active in NFT trading.
GateNews5h ago
Buenos Aires Court Orders Polymarket Blocked in Argentina
A Buenos Aires court has ordered the blocking of the prediction market platform Polymarket, citing it as an unauthorized online betting system. Access restrictions and app removals are mandated, highlighting rising regulatory scrutiny on such platforms.
Decrypt5h ago
New Address invests $38,700; predicts that Extended's first-day FDV will exceed $300 million
On March 17th, PolyBeats detected that a new address on Polymarket invested $38,700 to buy the option "Extended's FDV exceeds $300 million on its first day of listing," with a current probability of 36%. Extended is a non-custodial perpetual futures exchange based on Starknet, with core mechanisms including unified margin and multi-asset collateral. It previously raised $6.5 million in funding in April 2024.
GateNews6h ago
"Revise or I'll kill you" - Polymarket Gambler Issues Death Threats to Israeli Journalist After Losing $900,000
Israeli journalist Fabian received death threats after reporting on Iranian missiles landing. Losers who bet $14 million on prediction market Polymarket became dissatisfied, even fabricating screenshots to apply pressure. The incident reveals potential risks of prediction markets, suggesting that financial incentives may lead to illegal behavior and increased manipulation phenomena.
動區BlockTempo6h ago
