The U.S. presidential election is deadlocked, and Trump is gradually gaining the upper hand in key swing states. Kaitou Macro stated that the outcome of the U.S. presidential election is still difficult to predict, but Donald Trump does seem to be gradually leading in some key swing states. Around 11:30 p.m. Eastern Time, The New York Times believed that Trump had a 91% chance of winning, expecting him to win 300 electoral votes, far higher than the 270 required for victory. Additionally, on Polymarket, Trump’s probability of winning is 94%. The institution also pointed out that the market has reacted, with the yield on U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds rising from 4.30% a day ago to 4.42%. The dollar has strengthened, especially against the Mexican peso, and stock futures have pumped 1.2%.
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