UNI shorting strategy:

Conclusion first:
• 24-hour pullback probability: moderate to high (≈55%–65%). After a strong breakout with increased volume, there is usually a pullback for confirmation. The upper level is close to the round number and the daily high, making the cost-performance ratio for chasing long positions low. However, bears need to wait for a weakening signal before taking action.
• Do not blindly increase your short position when emotions are running high; prioritize waiting for the structure of "high resistance/breakdown pullback failure" to appear.

Key price level
• Resistance: 9.10–9.20 (daily high/upper shadow area), 9.50, 9.90–10.10 (integer and sentiment levels)
• Support: 8.60–8.70 (short-term pullback level), 8.00–8.10, 7.80–7.90 (upper edge of the previous range / key S-R), 7.20, 6.55 (24h low in the chart)

Shorting Entry Plan (Aggressive → Conservative)

A. Stimulate entry (shorting structural double tops / pullback after a rise)
• Reference entry: 9.00–9.15 (see the resistance around 9.1, enter again after 5/15m makes a "lower high")
• Stop-loss: 9.33
• Target: 8.60 → 8.10 → 7.90
• Note: Reduce by half at 8.60 and move the stop loss to break even.

B. Steady Entry (Wait for Breakdown + Pullback Failure, S/R Reversal)
• Trigger condition: Effectively breaks below 8.70, a pullback to 8.60–8.70 cannot recover.
• Reference Entry: 8.45–8.65
• Stop Loss: 8.82
• Target: 8.10 → 7.90 → 7.50
• Better risk-reward, don't chase if you miss.

C. Tail end "spray top" reverse shorting (small amount)
• If it quickly pulls to 9.60–9.90 and then falls back with a long upper shadow
• Stop Loss: 10.10
• Target: 9.10 → 8.60
• Only small positions for trial and error, belonging to extreme emotion play.

Margin replenishment and stop loss
• Only increase positions after a decline: For example, if Plan A shorts at 9.05, only consider adding a small position at 8.85 after a backtest fails at 9.00 and falls back to 8.85; the unified stop loss remains at 9.33 to avoid averaging up.
• Invalid strong condition: If it stabilizes above 9.20 on the 15-minute level or closes above 9.30 on the daily line with volume, the shorting logic is invalidated, and all stop losses should exit.
• Take profit in batches: Reduce by half at 8.60 and secure capital; reduce again at 8.10; leave a small position to watch for 7.90.

Operation Suggestions and Risk Control Checklist
• Position: Single risk ≤ net worth 1% (limit 2%). Even if the platform offers 50×, it is recommended to control the actual leverage at 5–10× or use a smaller position.
• Three questions before placing an order:
1. Is there a lower high/top divergence appearing in the resistance zone?
2. Is there a failure of the S/R reversal after breaking down → pulling back?
3. Is the stop-loss price set in advance, and is the target to be executed in batches?
• Memo: If there is a strong buyback when it retraces to 7.8–8.0 (long lower shadow + increased volume), it is highly likely to be the starting point for a second bullish attack, and shorting positions should not be held too long. 🔥🔥
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