DASH shorting strategy:

Conclusion (24h)
After a sharp rise and subsequent fall, it is now in a rebound and repair stage, with funding rates leaning negative (shorting is crowded, and a rebound may occur at any time), and trading volume is weakening. The probability of further decline/oscillation is approximately 55–60%, but it is more likely to "rebound first, then fall back." Shorting should focus on "weakening after a rebound/breaking and pulling back," and it is advisable not to blindly chase in the middle.

Key price level
• Resistance: 82–85 (near yesterday's high, currently the most critical) → 88–90 (strong resistance) → 95–100.
• Support: 78–79 (daily pivot) → 74–76 → 70–72 (strong support) → 66–68.

Entry and Risk Control (Batch + OCO)

A. Shorting as the rebound weakens (priority)
• Condition: Pull back to 82–85, appearance of upper shadow/break below short moving average in 15–60 min.
• Entry: two trades at 83–84.
• Stop loss: above 86.2–87 (conservative can set at 90).
• Target: 79.5 → 76 → 72 (take profit in batches; move the stop loss to break even once the first target is reached).

B. Breakout Pullback Shorting (Trend Following)
• Trigger: Effectively breaks below 78, and does not retest and stay above 79–80.
• Entry: 77.8–78.5.
• Stop loss: above 80.8–81.5.
• Target: 75 → 72 → 68.

C. Now shorting (only small position)
• Try shorting near the current price of 80.8;
• Stop loss: 83.3;
• Target: 79 → 76 (reduce by half to 79 and move to break even).

"Replenishing/Increasing Positions" and Discipline
• Only add positions in a favorable direction: After the first target is reached and the stop loss has been moved to breakeven, add a small position again when it retraces to 82→80 or 78→79 and is blocked; set the new stop loss above the recent resistance (e.g., 82.8/80.8).
• Do not add to positions in an unfavorable direction (do not increase short positions when prices rise), to avoid getting further trapped.

Position and Risk Control Example
• Single transaction risk control is 1–2% of account equity.
• Example: Enter at 84 and stop at 87 according to Plan A, with a risk margin of about 3.6%; if willing to lose at most $100, the nominal position size ≈ $100 / 0.036 ≈ $2,780; using 25x leverage, the required margin ≈ $111.

Invalid/Retreat Signal
• If the volume stabilizes above 90 in the 1H/4H and does not fall back, the shorting advantage is significantly weakened; reassess when it drops back below 88.
• Quickly reach 95–100 and if the funding rate continues to turn negative, beware of shorting, and promptly reduce leverage or exit.
$BTC ‌$DASH ‌