Overall market – where we are on 10 December

Price & structure

BTC ≈ 92–93k USD, after a strong rebound from the high-80k area. Last few days:

Dec 5–6: drop to ~89k

Dec 7–9: steady grind back up

Dec 10: consolidating just under recent local highs.

Total crypto market cap ≈ $3.15–3.25T, up around +2–3% in 24h – matches your watchlist’s sea of green.

BTC dominance ~58.5% – still high but slightly down in the last 24h, meaning alts are finally bouncing a bit harder than BTC.

Sentiment

A few days ago the Fear & Greed Index sat around 19–20 (Extreme Fear).

Today it’s about 26 (still Fear, but improving) – exactly what we expect on a relief rally from a fearful low.

Macro backdrop

The FOMC meeting / rate-cut expectations are in focus right now. Markets are watching for language that hints at easing in 2026, which generally supports risk assets like crypto.

👉 Translation:
We’re in a relief bounce inside a bigger bull market, after a scary flush. Sentiment is still “fear”, which is good for accumulation but watch out for FOMC volatility.

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2. Reading the market today

Leaders today:

ETH +6%

ADA +7–8%

NEAR, ONDO, APT, RENDER, ZRO, CFG all around +3–7%

Moderate movers: BTC ~+2–3%, SOL ~+3–4%, LINK ~+4%

Softer / red: BNB, KAS, S, XION slightly negative.

This is classic “alts outperform on the bounce, but BTC still the anchor” behavior.

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3. Spot strategy for today

3.1 High time-frame view

Weekly trend for BTC & ETH is still up; the recent drop was a 30–35% reset from the top, similar to mid-cycle dips in past bull markets.

Many alts (SOL, NEAR, ONDO, RENDER, AKT, etc.) are still well above their 2024 lows, but got smashed during the correction and are now bouncing.

3.2 What I’d do with spot

1. Don’t FOMO the biggest green candles.

ETH +6%, ADA +8%, ZRO/CFG +6–7% in 24h = short-term overextended.

If you wanted these for long-term, best entries were yesterday; today is more of a partial-take-profit or wait-for-pullback day.

2. Prioritise adding on dips to the strong “core” names:

Core stack weighting idea (spot only):

BTC: 35–40%

ETH: 15–20%

Top infra & narrative: SOL, LINK, NEAR, ONDO, RENDER, AKT, ATOM, APT, SUI, etc.: 25–35% total

High-risk: QUBIC, OM, XION, GFI, BTT, RVN, VIRTUAL, OZ, etc.: max 5–10%

3. What to accumulate vs trim today:

Accumulate (on small pullbacks):

BTC & ETH – still the safest way to ride the next leg.

SOL / LINK / NEAR / ONDO / RENDER / AKT – key narratives (L1 scaling, oracles, RWA, AI/DePIN).

Trim or at least avoid buying more today if they just pumped hard:

ADA, ZRO, CFG after strong 24h; wait for 5–10% pullback or consolidation before adding.

Speculative bucket:

QUBIC, OM, XION, OZ, GFI, etc. → only with money you’re happy to lose, and no averaging down big.

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4. Futures strategy – how to play this bounce

Given the environment (Fear but rising, market +2–3%), bias is cautiously bullish, but we’re sitting near resistance areas for BTC.

4.1 Safer futures ideas

A. BTC / ETH pullback longs

Look for intraday pullbacks after big green candles:

e.g. BTC drops back towards a 4h support zone or 21 EMA after a spike.

ETH does the same after its +6% run.

Use 2–3x leverage, not more.

Put stop just below intraday support; take profit in 2 stages:

First TP around +2–3% move on price.

Second TP if we retest or break recent local highs.

B. Strong-alt continuation scalps

Coins like SOL, LINK, NEAR, ONDO, RENDER, CFG that have:

Clear higher-lows on 4h

Rising volume on green candles

Entry on break-and-retest of intraday resistance (for example, previous 4h high).

Leverage again ≤3x.

Tight stop just below the breakout level; target 5–8% move on the coin.

4.2 What not to do today

Don’t open fresh heavy shorts against the trend while sentiment is recovering from fear – that’s how you get squeezed.

Don’t stack too many correlated longs (e.g., long BTC + ETH + SOL + APT all at once). Pick 1–2 best setups.

Avoid crazy leverage on thin names like QUBIC, OM, OZ, XION – liquidation risk is insane.

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5. Road map to 2026 – how this bounce fits the bigger story

BTC & ETH: still driven by ETF + institutional flows and the broader macro easing cycle outlook.

RWA / yield narrative (ONDO, CFG, CELO): tokenised treasuries and real-world assets continue to grow – these should shine once the market stabilises again.

AI / DePIN (RENDER, AKT): still tied to real demand for GPU & bandwidth. As AI infra spending pushes forward, these can remain leaders into 2026.

L1/L2 (SOL, NEAR, APT, SUI, STRK): long-term winners if they keep user, dev, and fee growth.

So this bounce doesn’t change the core thesis: we’re somewhere in the middle of a larger bull cycle, and these fearful, choppy weeks are where the best risk-adjusted entries usually appear—if you don’t get rekt with leverage.

#BitcoinActivityPicksUp