#加密生态动态追踪 Fed's decision is coming at three o'clock in the morning, and these few hours have a lot of impact on the currency circle -

**A 25 basis point rate cut is almost a certainty, but it is not this number that really determines the direction, but Powell's attitude after the meeting. **

The key to market fluctuations has always been in those few sentences. A gentle statement can be a rebound, and a hawkish stance can directly smash the market.

Internal divisions are particularly big this time: employment pressure factions want to continue cutting interest rates, and inflation worries disagree. The dot plot will most likely send a signal that there is limited room for interest rate cuts this year, and there may be more votes against it than last time.

**Short-term view (tonight to tomorrow morning)**

This is a high-stakes window. The ≠ interest rate cut is directly beneficial, and the key depends on the wording. If the statement is hawkish or hints at a pause, the price may dive instantly. Those who do contracts should be especially careful, and the stop loss cannot be less.

**Medium-term view (in a few weeks)**

Watch the Fed's balance sheet movements. Once a new round of bond purchases is initiated, liquidity is eased again, which is a real positive for the crypto market. Once the easing cycle starts, there will always be funds at the bottom.

**The Big Picture**

Tonight is inevitable, smashing at a high level and buying at the bottom, a normal market reaction. But as long as liquidity expectations are easing, the main theme of this cycle will still rise. $SOL, $ZEC, $WET The performance of these coins depends more on the subsequent funds.

**How does it work? **

Aggressive ones can wait for the diving to open a position, and steadily fall into the bag first. Tonight is not the time to go all-in, but a window to verify the direction of the market.