The rate cut almost cost me my life.
As I get older, staying up all night watching the markets leaves me completely exhausted the next day. This time, I closed all my long positions during the 15-minute divergence at dawn, as the divergence on the hourly chart was too obvious.
I also followed up with short positions—actually, the ones near the secondary high point I mentioned yesterday could have been done then. Looking back now, that judgment was quite accurate.
Flipping back, from the 21st of last month to the 11th of this month, although I chased some gains and lost twice, the overall frame

#美联储降息 【$BTC Bitcoin 2025-12-11 11:12】
The divergence has finally been resolved, and the next steps are now quite clear.
The blue line is currently following a combined corrective wave, labeled as a triple three structure WXYXZ. It is basically nearing completion. But this is just the beginning— the blue line will evolve into a higher-level combined corrective wave (double three), which is currently just the sub-W wave; it will also include sub-X and sub-Y waves later.
However, there is another wave count possibility. Wave A might be a less standard leading wedge, in which case Wave B is likel

#美联储降息 Last night, the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, but the market reaction was unexpected — Bitcoin plunged from $94,000 to $89,000, with the gains instantly evaporating. The key point is that the cut was smaller than expected, and Powell's speech conveyed a hawkish signal, directly leading the market to reduce its forecast for next year's rate cuts.
The trouble is still ahead. Japan's interest rate hike policy is like a sword hanging over everyone's heads. Once it actually starts, global capital flows will undergo drastic adjustments, and risk assets will be the first

Today, many people monitoring the market noticed a strange phenomenon: the Federal Reserve actually cut interest rates, but Bitcoin didn't soar; instead, it dropped sharply.
This script doesn't add up, right? Isn't a rate cut a positive signal?
The core issue lies here—what looks like good news is actually already priced in by the market.
First reason: **The positive news was already digested in advance.**
This 25 basis point rate cut was anticipated by various institutions half a month ago, and smart money had already started to position themselves. When the official announcement finally came

#加密生态动态追踪 $BTC $ETH $ZEC
Wait, what exactly is this Trump-related product? Can someone explain? How does the dividend distribution mechanism work? Does he personally participate in the profits?
It seems this matter is quite popular in the crypto community.

#美联储降息 Early in the morning, everyone watching the market was confused — the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, but Bitcoin immediately plummeted. What's going on?
On the surface, it's good news, but in reality, it's a big trap. There are three reasons:
**The market has already priced in this move**
News about the rate cut had been circulating for half a month, and smart money had already pre-positioned. When it was officially announced, it was just "taking profits." Pre-emptive positioning and public announcement causing a sell-off is standard game theory.
**The real blow

The latest speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sends mixed signals, with several key statements worth noting: inflationary pressures still pose upside risks, there are clear signs of cooling in the labor market, and economic growth has already slowed. However, he also emphasized that raising interest rates is not the current baseline expectation.
What does this statement reveal? The dilemma faced by the Fed is: on one hand, inflation is not fully under control; on the other hand, the economy is beginning to show signs of fatigue. Policymakers are now more concerned not with whether t

#美联储降息 Recently busy with miscellaneous matters, but I have never lost focus on the market for everyone. Today I want to share a thoroughly screened trading opportunity — honestly, this wave has considerable potential.
The expectation of a Federal Reserve rate cut has already fermented in the market, and crypto assets are always敏锐 to loose monetary policy. Based on current fundamental data and technical performance, I have compiled a list of targets, with an expected increase of no less than 10%. This is not marketing jargon, but solid data support.
Market opportunities are fleeting; well-pre

Last weekend, a piece of news spread within the circle: the supply of rare earths in a certain East Asian country has started to become uncertain.
Let's look at the data first. This country imports nearly 70% of its rare earth oxides from a major power—its motor, automotive, robotics, and even sensitive military industrial chains all rely on this supply line. Now, the approval process has been extended, compliance thresholds raised. Although no one is saying "embargo," companies are already feeling the pressure.
Interestingly, this move is quite restrained. It doesn't cut off supply completely

Early morning rate cut announcement, more like a suspense thriller than expected.
The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, causing Bitcoin and Ethereum candlestick charts to fluctuate violently—both upward and downward movements completed within minutes. Wall Street traders exploded on social media, and even former President Trump couldn’t help but speak out with doubts. Where are the promised positive signals? Why does the market react as if it’s been hit with a punch?
The problem lies in the "substance" of this rate cut.
On the surface, the Fed did cut rates. But Powell’s wor

#美联储降息 $BNB Technical Analysis and Layout Strategy
Recently, the market signals are clearly bearish, with candlesticks and major technical indicators all pointing to downside. The short-term direction is very clear.
The key support to watch is the lower band of the Bollinger Bands at 865.83, which is currently the most critical support level. Below that is today’s low of 861.69; if this level is effectively broken, it could open the way for deeper downward movement.
Therefore, the operational strategy is to look for a comfortable entry point to short within the 870-880 range.
The first target

Recently, $FHE (Mind Network) has been on a strong upward trend — the current price is hovering around 0.055 USDT, up nearly 247% since December 7th, nearly tripling in just a few days. On December 9th, it was even more spectacular, with a single-day increase of +55%, directly pushing it to the top of the gainers list on a major leading exchange. Its contract trading volume once ranked in the top tier, second only to SUI. These numbers indicate that market interest in the FHE track is rapidly heating up.
Why is it so aggressive? We need to look at what Mind Network is doing. Their core weapon

#美联储降息 Macroeconomic expectations are shifting, and on-chain funds are accumulating quietly.
A recent interesting signal is that overseas institutions are gradually establishing expectations for a rate cut in 2026—anticipating a 25 basis point reduction in March and June respectively. It sounds far off, but the market usually starts pricing in 3-6 months in advance.
The key issue here: certain hard indicators of inflation—rent, wages, energy costs—once they show signs of softening, the stance of central banks will rapidly shift. Economic data may still look sustainable on the surface, but unde

After reviewing the latest data, the median interest rate in 2026 remains at 3.375%, with an average around 3.29%—almost identical to the September forecast. Want to cut to 3.125%? Not a chance.
The report contains two intriguing details:
First, one committee member's expectations are wildly off, projecting 2.125% for 2026, then raising it again for 2027. This move suggests either concern about a hard landing next year or simply loyalty to the team... Everyone in the know understands.
Second, there’s a change in the macroeconomic forecast. The December outlook is much more optimistic than in S

#美联储降息 Ethereum has a lot of short positions above the 3038 level, and it seems like it still wants to test lower. However, the 3000 level feels like a tough hurdle, and it depends on whether it can hold. If $ETH continues to fall in this wave, the next support might be this key round number.

#美联储降息 Holding onto this short position since early morning, the gains have been quite substantial $BTC $ETH
The Federal Reserve's policy direction is indeed influencing every detail of the market; this round of market movement feels well-paced.

The White House has once again spoken out on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. U.S. President Donald Trump recently publicly criticized Fed Chair Jerome Powell, believing that the current rate cuts are far from enough— in his words, "the cut could be doubled."
Trump also proposed a rather radical economic vision: he believes that U.S. GDP growth should easily exceed 3-4%, and he doesn't even understand "why 20% or 25% growth isn't possible." These remarks clearly go beyond the traditional expectations of economic theory.
For the crypto market, this public disagreement between the White Ho

#数字资产生态回暖 The recent market rebound has indeed provided many opportunities. Starting to build a long position at the 4190 level, the trend then gave two good profit-taking opportunities—successfully closing both at 4230 and 4240. Gold is even more interesting, capturing profits with just a 50-point move, and with only 2 lots, earning 10,000 USD. This series of trades was made possible by understanding key support levels and market rhythm. In the crypto market's rebound cycle, mastering risk management and goal setting can indeed bring steady returns.

#数字资产生态回暖 $ZEC has been gaining attention again recently. From a technical analysis perspective, setting a stop-loss around 373 is more prudent. If it moves upward, first watch whether it can break through the small-level previous high at 450, which is a key point. If it holds, there is a strong resistance at 470 above. But if it successfully breaks through 470, the overall market pattern could reverse — shifting from consolidation to an uptrend. Some friends have already positioned early, and their unrealized gains are still increasing. Should I jump on board and give it a try?