Today, many people monitoring the market noticed a strange phenomenon: the Federal Reserve actually cut interest rates, but Bitcoin didn't soar; instead, it dropped sharply.
This script doesn't add up, right? Isn't a rate cut a positive signal?
The core issue lies here—what looks like good news is actually already priced in by the market.
First reason: **The positive news was already digested in advance.**
This 25 basis point rate cut was anticipated by various institutions half a month ago, and smart money had already started to position themselves. When the official announcement finally came? It turned into the classic case of "good news turning into bad news upon implementation"—the funds that entered early started to take profits, and as selling pressure mounted, the price of the coin naturally fell.
The second, more critical reason: **Expectations for the future have been downgraded.**
Latest forecasts indicate that there might only be one rate cut in 2026.
Originally, the market was looking forward to a continuous easing cycle, with increasing liquidity fueling a bull run. But now, this cold water has been poured—the expectation is only one rate cut next year? Many investors' confidence has shattered, and they prefer to exit early.
Another point worth noting: **Dissent within the Federal Reserve.**
This time, three votes opposed the rate cut, indicating concerns among some members that inflation might resurface. As long as there is internal doubt about further easing, the market will question how loose the future liquidity really is.
So, Bitcoin's decline isn't because rate cuts are inherently bad, but because "the outlook isn't as rosy as before."
What does the market fear most? Not bad news, but when expectations are disappointed.
This time, the Fed seemed to give a sweet treat but also hid the jar of candy behind its back. Naturally, the crypto market is voting with its feet.
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MainnetDelayedAgain
· 9h ago
The positive impact of rate cuts was fully priced in early; I had already recorded this. Smart money had been lurking half a month ago, and the official announcement instead became a sell-off signal—classic case of "good news turning into bad news upon landing." I've seen this routine too many times in extension notices.
Only one rate cut in 2026? The market initially wanted continuous easing, but this cold water doused that hope directly, and it's normal to have a panic reaction. The Federal Reserve's internal vote was still 3 against; what does that indicate? It shows a lack of confidence in future easing.
The market's biggest fear is never bad news itself, but the feeling of "expectations being dashed." The sugar was given, but the jar was hidden. I understand the market's foot-vote on the coin price with this wave.
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LiquidationHunter
· 9h ago
It's the same story again, the smart money has already run away.
Wait, only one rate cut in 2026? Will my leverage even survive haha.
The rate cut benefits have been completely absorbed, fresh news.
Losing the anticipation is more painful than anything, no wonder everyone is cutting positions.
There are many insiders against the Fed, so many dissenting votes.
Either it's a decline, or no one believes anymore.
This wave has truly been a thorough cut.
Basically, it's a sugar-coated cannon, and there's no more sugar afterward.
Smart money: I go in first, I sell first, goodbye everyone.
One in 2026? The market directly breaks down, I want to run too.
Today, many people monitoring the market noticed a strange phenomenon: the Federal Reserve actually cut interest rates, but Bitcoin didn't soar; instead, it dropped sharply.
This script doesn't add up, right? Isn't a rate cut a positive signal?
The core issue lies here—what looks like good news is actually already priced in by the market.
First reason: **The positive news was already digested in advance.**
This 25 basis point rate cut was anticipated by various institutions half a month ago, and smart money had already started to position themselves. When the official announcement finally came? It turned into the classic case of "good news turning into bad news upon implementation"—the funds that entered early started to take profits, and as selling pressure mounted, the price of the coin naturally fell.
The second, more critical reason: **Expectations for the future have been downgraded.**
Latest forecasts indicate that there might only be one rate cut in 2026.
Originally, the market was looking forward to a continuous easing cycle, with increasing liquidity fueling a bull run. But now, this cold water has been poured—the expectation is only one rate cut next year? Many investors' confidence has shattered, and they prefer to exit early.
Another point worth noting: **Dissent within the Federal Reserve.**
This time, three votes opposed the rate cut, indicating concerns among some members that inflation might resurface. As long as there is internal doubt about further easing, the market will question how loose the future liquidity really is.
So, Bitcoin's decline isn't because rate cuts are inherently bad, but because "the outlook isn't as rosy as before."
What does the market fear most? Not bad news, but when expectations are disappointed.
This time, the Fed seemed to give a sweet treat but also hid the jar of candy behind its back. Naturally, the crypto market is voting with its feet.