Tomorrow's Fed decision looking pretty one-sided right now. Prediction markets are pricing in a 25 basis point cut at 95% probability—basically a done deal at this point.
Polymarket data's showing that kind of consensus you rarely see before rate decisions. When the crowd's this confident, it usually means something.
Market's already reacting. Positive vibes spreading fast across risk assets. Whether that holds after the actual announcement? Different story. But for now, traders are positioning like this cut's locked in.
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MetaLord420
· 12h ago
95% is already a certainty; this round of the Federal Reserve will definitely cut interest rates. The consensus on Polymarket is terrifying.
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DeFiGrayling
· 12-12 08:17
There's a 95% chance it's locked out now. The people trying to reverse the operation probably risk a significant loss.
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ChainWallflower
· 12-10 18:07
95% probability? This is the actual consensus expectation, feeling a bit scared...
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FallingLeaf
· 12-10 18:04
95% probability? This market is definitely going to reverse, betting too heavily will only lead to a crash.
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LiquidityLarry
· 12-10 17:56
95% just want to lock in? I think it's risky; this is the most likely time for a reversal.
Tomorrow's Fed decision looking pretty one-sided right now. Prediction markets are pricing in a 25 basis point cut at 95% probability—basically a done deal at this point.
Polymarket data's showing that kind of consensus you rarely see before rate decisions. When the crowd's this confident, it usually means something.
Market's already reacting. Positive vibes spreading fast across risk assets. Whether that holds after the actual announcement? Different story. But for now, traders are positioning like this cut's locked in.