Ladies and gentlemen, the fourth human-vs-AI match of a certain AI project is here again.
This round, I am still on the AI side. Why? At this critical juncture, the Federal Reserve is unlikely to publicly signal "large-scale Treasury bond buybacks." As you know, conducting large-scale T-Bills repurchase operations would immediately be interpreted by the market as a de facto restart of quantitative easing. The problem is, inflation hasn't been fully subdued yet. Releasing such a signal now? The political and reputational costs would be too high to bear.
Therefore, I believe there will be no cle
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